Netherlands · Eredivisie Women
PEC Zwolle W vs Heerenveen W Prediction
· Sportpark Ceintuurbaan
Match prediction
- The model's near-even three-way split, with home and draw each at 35%, frames the double-chance advice as a hedge rather than a confident home call.
- PEC Zwolle's strong head-to-head and Poisson edges support the home side, yet their 46 form score and three home defeats undercut that advantage.
- Heerenveen's superior form and away goals average conflict with their weak away defence, which is why the draw carries equal weight to a home win.
- Both teams concede regularly and neither keeps clean sheets often, making the +1.5 goals component the most secure part of the advice.
- PEC Zwolle's home record of three losses without a win explains why the model avoids a straight home victory and prefers covering the draw.
- Recent meetings have been tight and low-scoring, so the goal line leans on defensive frailty rather than any expectation of a high-scoring contest.
- Predicted winner
- PEC Zwolle W
- Betting advice
- Combo Double chance : PEC Zwolle W or draw and +1.5 goals
- Home win probability
- 35%
- Draw probability
- 35%
- Away win probability
- 30%
- Goals market
- +1.5
Prediction comparison
| Factor | PEC Zwolle W | Heerenveen W |
|---|---|---|
| Form | 46.0% | 54.0% |
| Attack | 58.0% | 42.0% |
| Defence | 41.0% | 59.0% |
| Poisson | 55.0% | 45.0% |
| H2h | 75.0% | 25.0% |
| Goals | 57.0% | 43.0% |
| Total | 55.3% | 44.7% |
Team form and goal analysis
PEC Zwolle W
Recent form: LLLWLW.
Average goals scored: 1.80 per match.
Heerenveen W
Recent form: LLLWDW.
Average goals scored: 1.50 per match.
Head-to-head record
- PEC Zwolle W 1–1 Heerenveen W (15 Mar 2026)
- Heerenveen W 0–1 PEC Zwolle W (16 Nov 2025)
- Heerenveen W 1–2 PEC Zwolle W (30 Mar 2025)
- PEC Zwolle W 2–2 Heerenveen W (21 Dec 2024)
- PEC Zwolle W 2–2 Heerenveen W (28 Jan 2024)