Paysandu vs Ferroviária Prediction
Match prediction
- Ferroviária's 45% win and 45% draw probabilities justify the double-chance advice, though the equal split signals genuine uncertainty rather than clear superiority.
- Paysandu's 10% win probability is reinforced by a form score of 8 against Ferroviária's 92, reflecting a severe recent slump.
- Ferroviária's away record of six draws in eleven matches supports the draw component of the double chance.
- Paysandu's attack and defence scores of 25 and 43 lag well behind Ferroviária's 75 and 57, pointing to a one-sided contest.
- Ferroviária won both 2026 meetings without conceding, strengthening the head-to-head edge behind the away-leaning prediction.
- Both teams concede most goals late, so the draw half of the double chance remains live despite Ferroviária's overall superiority.
- Predicted winner
- Ferroviária
- Betting advice
- Double chance : draw or Ferroviária
- Home win probability
- 10%
- Draw probability
- 45%
- Away win probability
- 45%
- Goals market
- —
Prediction comparison
| Factor | Paysandu | Ferroviária |
|---|---|---|
| Form | 8.0% | 92.0% |
| Attack | 25.0% | 75.0% |
| Defence | 43.0% | 57.0% |
| Poisson | 44.0% | 56.0% |
| H2h | 36.0% | 64.0% |
| Goals | 33.0% | 67.0% |
| Total | 31.5% | 68.5% |
Team form and goal analysis
Paysandu
Recent form: WDDWWWLWLLWLLWLWLWLLLDL.
Average goals scored: 1.30 per match.
Ferroviária
Recent form: LLDDWDWWDWWLLWDDWLWDWWD.
Average goals scored: 1.30 per match.
Head-to-head record
- Ferroviária 1–0 Paysandu (13 Sep 2026)
- Ferroviária 4–0 Paysandu (18 Aug 2026)
- Ferroviária 2–2 Paysandu (21 Oct 2025)
- Paysandu 2–1 Ferroviária (01 Jul 2025)