Patriotas vs Ind. Yumbo Prediction
· Estadio La Independencia
Match prediction
- The model's 45% draw and 45% away split makes double chance the logical expression of near-equal probabilities, with home win heavily discounted.
- Ind. Yumbo's superior defensive rating and away goals-against average support the away side's edge in this matchup.
- Patriotas' strong home record conflicts with their poor overall form, suggesting home advantage partially offsets the defensive gap.
- The lone head-to-head meeting favors Ind. Yumbo, but a single match is too small a sample to carry decisive weight.
- Both attacks rate equally, so the defensive disparity is the clearest separator behind the away-leaning advice.
- Recent form slightly favors Ind. Yumbo, reinforcing the double chance while the draw component covers Patriotas' home resilience.
- Predicted winner
- Ind. Yumbo
- Betting advice
- Double chance : draw or Ind. Yumbo
- Home win probability
- 10%
- Draw probability
- 45%
- Away win probability
- 45%
- Goals market
- —
Prediction comparison
| Factor | Patriotas | Ind. Yumbo |
|---|---|---|
| Form | 47.0% | 53.0% |
| Attack | 50.0% | 50.0% |
| Defence | 33.0% | 67.0% |
| Poisson | 51.0% | 49.0% |
| H2h | 0.0% | 100.0% |
| Goals | 33.0% | 67.0% |
| Total | 42.8% | 57.2% |
Team form and goal analysis
Patriotas
Recent form: LWLDLDWDDLDLWWLWDDWLWWWLL.
Average goals scored: 1.20 per match.
Ind. Yumbo
Recent form: DLDDWDWDWLLWLDDWDWLWWDWLW.
Average goals scored: 1.10 per match.
Head-to-head record
- Ind. Yumbo 2–1 Patriotas (27 Mar 2026)