Scotland · Championship

Partick vs Arbroath Prediction

· Firhill Stadium

Partick badgePartick vs Arbroath badgeArbroath

Match prediction

  • Partick's unbeaten home record and five clean sheets underpin the defensive solidity behind the double-chance advice.
  • Arbroath's away form shows three defeats and no clean sheets, weakening their case despite a superior attack rating.
  • The model's equal 45% home and draw probabilities explain why the advice covers both outcomes rather than backing Partick alone.
  • Partick's low scoring rate, with no match exceeding 2.5 goals, supports the under 3.5 goals component of the advice.
  • Recent head-to-head meetings have been tight and low-scoring, reinforcing caution against expecting a decisive Partick win.
  • Arbroath's away defensive vulnerability conflicts with their strong attack rating, but the goals evidence still favors a controlled, low-scoring game.
Predicted winner
Partick
Betting advice
Combo Double chance : Partick or draw and -3.5 goals
Home win probability
45%
Draw probability
45%
Away win probability
10%
Goals market
-3.5

Prediction comparison

FactorPartickArbroath
Form46.0%54.0%
Attack33.0%67.0%
Defence78.0%22.0%
Poisson100.0%0.0%
H2h50.0%50.0%
Goals50.0%50.0%
Total51.4%48.6%

Team form and goal analysis

Partick

Recent form: WWDDWLD.

Average goals scored: 0.70 per match.

Arbroath

Recent form: LDWWDLLW.

Average goals scored: 0.80 per match.

Head-to-head record

  1. Arbroath 0–0 Partick (25 Apr 2026)
  2. Partick 0–0 Arbroath (28 Feb 2026)
  3. Arbroath 2–1 Partick (13 Dec 2025)
  4. Partick 1–1 Arbroath (04 Oct 2025)
  5. Arbroath 0–1 Partick (23 Mar 2024)
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