Tercera División RFEF - Group 7 · Spain
Parla Escuela vs Colonia Moscardó Prediction
Match prediction
The existing model leans toward Colonia Moscardó with a double-chance advice of draw or away, assigning 45% to the draw and 45% to an away win while leaving Parla Escuela at just 10%. That split is broadly consistent with the comparison metrics, where Colonia Moscardó lead on form (64.00 vs 36.00), attack (58.00 vs 42.00) and especially defence (71.00 vs 29.00), producing a total of 64.30 against 35.70. The team analysis reinforces this: Colonia Moscardó are unbeaten in three (WDW) with two wins and a draw, while Parla Escuela have a mixed LDW record with one win, one draw and one loss. Colonia Moscardó's goals profile is also stronger, averaging 2.30 scored and only 0.70 conceded, whereas Parla Escuela average 1.70 scored and 1.70 conceded, so the defensive gap is the clearest separator between the sides. Their last-five records tell a similar story, with Colonia Moscardó winning 5-1 at home to Villanueva Pardillo and drawing 1-1 at Unión Adarve, while Parla Escuela's most recent outing was a 3-0 away win at SS Reyes II but included a 5-2 loss at RC Alcobendas. Parla Escuela's home form is a qualifier, though, as they have drawn their only home fixture 0-0 and kept two clean sheets overall, suggesting they may be harder to break down at home than their low 10% win probability implies. The Poisson, head-to-head and goals comparison fields are all zero or empty, and the head-to-head record is unavailable, so those sections offer no additional signal and the assessment rests mainly on form, defence and recent scoring. The small sample of only three league fixtures per side means these trends should be treated as indicative rather than conclusive, which is consistent with the model's cautious double-chance framing rather than a straight away win.
- Predicted winner
- Colonia Moscardó
- Betting advice
- Double chance : draw or Colonia Moscardó
- Home win probability
- 10%
- Draw probability
- 45%
- Away win probability
- 45%
- Goals market
- —
Prediction comparison
| Factor | Parla Escuela | Colonia Moscardó |
|---|---|---|
| Form | 36.0% | 64.0% |
| Attack | 42.0% | 58.0% |
| Defence | 29.0% | 71.0% |
| Poisson | 0.0% | 0.0% |
| H2h | 0.0% | 0.0% |
| Goals | 0.0% | 0.0% |
| Total | 35.7% | 64.3% |
Team form and goal analysis
Parla Escuela
Recent form: LDW.
Average goals scored: 1.70 per match.
Colonia Moscardó
Recent form: WDW.
Average goals scored: 2.30 per match.
Head-to-head record
No recorded head-to-head matches are available.


