Pardubice U19 vs Karviná U19 Prediction

Match prediction

The existing model gives Pardubice U19 a 45% home win and 45% draw probability against Karviná U19, leaving only 10% for an away win, which is why the advice is a double chance on Pardubice or draw. That output is supported by the Poisson comparison, where Pardubice scores 100.00 against Karviná's 0.00, and by the head-to-head split of 80.00 to 20.00 in Pardubice's favour, even though the recent head-to-head results are more mixed. Form is level at 50.00 for both sides, but the underlying records diverge: Pardubice's DLDLWLLLL and Karviná's WLLLWLL both show heavy losing, so the form metric alone does not clearly separate them. The comparison metrics conflict in an important way, because Karviná has the stronger attack score (71.00 versus 29.00) while Pardubice has the better defence score (58.00 versus 42.00), and Pardubice also leads the goals comparison 68.00 to 32.00 and the total comparison 57.00 to 43.00. Pardubice's team analysis shows only one win in nine matches, with no home wins, four home defeats, and a 0-4 home loss, which weakens any expectation of a comfortable home victory despite the double-chance advice. Karviná's profile is similarly poor, with two wins in seven matches, no away wins, three away defeats, and a 5-0 away loss, so its low 10% win probability reflects a genuinely weak away record rather than a strong Pardubice side. The goals analysis adds further qualification, as Karviná averages 1.10 goals scored but 2.90 conceded, while Pardubice averages 1.10 scored and 2.40 conceded, and both teams have failed to score in multiple matches. The last-five records reinforce the inconsistency: Pardubice lost four of five, including 1-4 and 0-4 defeats, before a 1-0 win, while Karviná lost four of five, including 0-4 and 0-3 defeats, with a single 3-2 home win. The head-to-head record is the most supportive evidence for the prediction, since Pardubice won 3-0 and 2-0 at home in 2023 and 4-1 in 2021, but Karviná won the two most recent meetings 4-3 and 4-1, which is a meaningful counterweight to the 80.00 to 20.00 aggregate. Overall, the double chance looks like a cautious reading of a low-quality matchup, supported by Pardubice's Poisson and head-to-head edge but qualified by its winless home record, Karviná's stronger attack score, and the recent head-to-head swing toward Karviná.

Predicted winner

Pardubice U19

Betting advice

Double chance : Pardubice U19 or draw

Home win probability

45%

Draw probability

45%

Away win probability

10%

Goals market

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Prediction comparison

Team form and goal analysis

Head-to-head record

1. Pardubice U19 3–4 Karviná U19 (16 May 2026)
2. Karviná U19 1–4 Pardubice U19 (18 Oct 2025)
3. Karviná U19 2–3 Pardubice U19 (27 Apr 2024)
4. Pardubice U19 3–0 Karviná U19 (30 Sep 2023)
5. Pardubice U19 2–0 Karviná U19 (22 Apr 2023)