Papua New Guinea W vs Vanuatu W Prediction
Match prediction
- Papua New Guinea's perfect four-win form and superior attack-defence ratings support the model's home-winner advice despite the draw probability matching the home probability.
- The 50% draw probability tempers confidence in the win advice, since the model treats a stalemate as equally likely as a Papua New Guinea victory.
- Papua New Guinea's recent 2-0 head-to-head win over Vanuatu, part of a perfect three-match series, strengthens the case for the home side.
- Vanuatu's away scoring average of 0.70 goals per game, including a blank against Papua New Guinea, undercuts any away-side threat.
- Papua New Guinea's 3.80 goals-per-game average and Vanuatu's 0.80 goals-against average suggest the home attack should find chances.
- Vanuatu's mixed DWWL form and away loss to Papua New Guinea indicate the visitors are capable but inconsistent, keeping the draw probability relevant.
- Predicted winner
- Papua New Guinea W
- Betting advice
- Winner : Papua New Guinea W
- Home win probability
- 50%
- Draw probability
- 50%
- Away win probability
- 0%
- Goals market
- —
Prediction comparison
| Factor | Papua New Guinea W | Vanuatu W |
|---|---|---|
| Form | 63.0% | 37.0% |
| Attack | 68.0% | 32.0% |
| Defence | 60.0% | 40.0% |
| Poisson | 90.0% | 10.0% |
| H2h | 100.0% | 0.0% |
| Goals | 100.0% | 0.0% |
| Total | 70.3% | 29.8% |
Team form and goal analysis
Papua New Guinea W
Recent form: WWWW.
Average goals scored: 3.80 per match.
Vanuatu W
Recent form: DWWL.
Average goals scored: 1.80 per match.
Head-to-head record
- Papua New Guinea W 2–0 Vanuatu W (26 Sep 2026)
- Papua New Guinea W 5–0 Vanuatu W (27 Feb 2026)
- Papua New Guinea W 4–0 Vanuatu W (13 Nov 2025)


