Papua New Guinea vs Solomon Islands Prediction
Match prediction
- Solomon Islands' perfect recent form and superior attack rating justify the model's away lean, though the 45% draw probability signals real uncertainty.
- Papua New Guinea's two straight losses without a clean sheet expose defensive fragility that Solomon Islands' scoring form can exploit.
- The head-to-head record favors Solomon Islands, but Papua New Guinea's November 2025 home win shows this fixture can break the trend.
- Solomon Islands' away defensive record is mixed, conceding three at home to Vanuatu, which tempers confidence in a clean away win.
- Both teams' small two-match samples limit how strongly recent form should be weighted against the near-even win and draw probabilities.
- The advice backs Solomon Islands outright, yet the equal 45% win and draw probabilities suggest the draw is a genuine alternative outcome.
- Predicted winner
- Solomon Islands
- Betting advice
- Winner : Solomon Islands
- Home win probability
- 10%
- Draw probability
- 45%
- Away win probability
- 45%
- Goals market
- —
Prediction comparison
| Factor | Papua New Guinea | Solomon Islands |
|---|---|---|
| Form | 0.0% | 100.0% |
| Attack | 17.0% | 83.0% |
| Defence | 43.0% | 57.0% |
| Poisson | 0.0% | 100.0% |
| H2h | 20.0% | 80.0% |
| Goals | 38.0% | 63.0% |
| Total | 29.5% | 70.8% |
Team form and goal analysis
Papua New Guinea
Recent form: LL.
Average goals scored: 0.50 per match.
Solomon Islands
Recent form: WD.
Average goals scored: 2.50 per match.
Head-to-head record
- Papua New Guinea 1–0 Solomon Islands (13 Nov 2025)
- Papua New Guinea 1–2 Solomon Islands (17 Nov 2024)
- Papua New Guinea 1–3 Solomon Islands (08 Oct 2023)
- Solomon Islands 3–2 Papua New Guinea (27 Mar 2022)
- Papua New Guinea 1–2 Solomon Islands (13 Jun 2017)