Hungary · NB III - Northwest

Pápai Perutz vs Gyori ETO II Prediction

Pápai Perutz badgePápai Perutz vs Gyori ETO II badgeGyori ETO II

Match prediction

  • Gyori ETO II's stronger form, attack, defence and Poisson ratings support the away side, though the model's 45-45 split makes the draw-or-away double chance the safer expression.
  • Pápai Perutz's home record includes two wins and two draws from six, so their 10% win probability may understate a venue effect the model already discounts.
  • The head-to-head metric favours Pápai Perutz 80-20, a direct conflict with the form and Poisson evidence that justifies covering the draw rather than backing Gyori outright.
  • Gyori ETO II score 57% of their goals after the 76th minute, suggesting late goals could decide a match the probabilities frame as near-even.
  • Pápai Perutz have failed to score in four of nine matches and average only 0.80 goals, limiting their capacity to convert home advantage into a win.
  • Gyori ETO II's away form shows one win, one draw and two losses, so their overall superiority is less convincing on the road and supports the cautious double chance.
Predicted winner
Gyori ETO II
Betting advice
Double chance : draw or Gyori ETO II
Home win probability
10%
Draw probability
45%
Away win probability
45%
Goals market
—

Prediction comparison

FactorPápai PerutzGyori ETO II
Form33.0%67.0%
Attack20.0%80.0%
Defence31.0%69.0%
Poisson30.0%70.0%
H2h80.0%20.0%
Goals67.0%33.0%
Total43.5%56.5%

Team form and goal analysis

Pápai Perutz

Recent form: LWDLWLLDL.

Average goals scored: 0.80 per match.

Gyori ETO II

Recent form: WLLWWLDDW.

Average goals scored: 1.60 per match.

Head-to-head record

  1. Gyori ETO II 2–3 Pápai Perutz (22 Mar 2026)
  2. Pápai Perutz 3–0 Gyori ETO II (31 Aug 2025)
  3. Pápai Perutz 2–1 Gyori ETO II (29 May 2022)
  4. Gyori ETO II 0–2 Pápai Perutz (28 Nov 2021)
  5. Gyori ETO II 3–2 Pápai Perutz (24 Jul 2021)
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