Pamplona vs Huarte Prediction

Match prediction

• Both teams share identical DLDD form and three draws from four, so the model's 45% draw probability reflects genuinely balanced recent results.
• Pamplona's attack scores only 0.5 goals per game while Huarte's defence concedes 1.3, yet Huarte's away scoring of 2.0 per game offsets that edge.
• The head-to-head record favours Pamplona at 71%, and their home wins in this fixture support the double-chance advice despite Huarte's stronger attack rating.
• Huarte's away form shows two clean sheets at home but 2.5 goals conceded per away game, undermining their 67% attack rating as a reliable signal.
• Pamplona's defence concedes 0.8 goals per game and has kept one away clean sheet, reinforcing the low-scoring draw tendency that dominates this matchup.
• The Poisson model leans slightly toward Huarte at 58%, a conflict with the head-to-head and home advantage that justifies the cautious double-chance selection rather than a straight win.

Predicted winner

Pamplona

Betting advice

Double chance : Pamplona or draw

Home win probability

45%

Draw probability

45%

Away win probability

10%

Goals market

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Prediction comparison

Team form and goal analysis

Head-to-head record

1. Pamplona 1–0 Huarte (09 May 2026)
2. Huarte 1–2 Pamplona (10 Jan 2026)
3. Pamplona 2–0 Huarte (04 Apr 2025)
4. Huarte 4–0 Pamplona (23 Nov 2024)
5. Huarte 1–1 Pamplona (10 Apr 2024)