Pachuca W vs Santos Laguna W Prediction

Match prediction

The existing model leans toward Pachuca W via a double-chance call, with home and draw each at 45% and Santos Laguna W at just 10%, so the advice effectively treats a Pachuca defeat as the only losing outcome. That caution is partly explained by the comparison metrics, where Santos Laguna W lead on form (75 versus 25) and attack (62 versus 38), while Pachuca W hold narrower edges in defence (47 versus 53) and the overall total (51.8 versus 48.2). The Poisson and goals metrics pull the other way more strongly, with Pachuca W at 66 versus 34 on Poisson, 83 versus 17 on goals, and a 100-to-0 head-to-head split, which together justify the home-side lean despite the weaker form signal. Pachuca W's own profile is inconsistent: their overall form string of LDWWLLLL includes only two wins from eight, with both wins coming at home and none away, and they have failed to score three times while keeping no clean sheets. Their last five reinforce that slump, with four straight defeats before a 3-1 home win over Guadalajara W, and their goals analysis shows a modest 1.10 scored per game against 1.50 conceded, with home scoring (2.00) far outstripping away scoring (0.60). Santos Laguna W present the opposite pattern, sitting on four wins and four losses from eight with no draws, and their last five include three wins, notably a 2-0 home win over Cruz Azul W and a 3-2 away win at Atlético San Luis W. Their goals analysis shows 1.40 scored and 2.00 conceded per game, with away scoring of 1.80 and away conceding of 2.30, suggesting they are more productive but also more open on the road. The head-to-head record is the strongest single support for the prediction, as Pachuca W have won the last two meetings 3-1 and 2-1 and also dominate the wider sample, though the most recent fixture was a Santos Laguna W home win in April 2026. Overall, the evidence is mixed rather than one-sided: the head-to-head and Poisson/goals metrics support the double chance, while Santos Laguna W's superior form and attack, plus Pachuca W's four-game losing run before their latest win, mean the draw component of the advice carries real weight.

Predicted winner

Pachuca W

Betting advice

Double chance : Pachuca W or draw

Home win probability

45%

Draw probability

45%

Away win probability

10%

Goals market

—

Prediction comparison

Team form and goal analysis

Head-to-head record

1. Santos Laguna W 1–2 Pachuca W (03 Apr 2026)
2. Pachuca W 3–1 Santos Laguna W (10 Aug 2025)
3. Santos Laguna W 1–3 Pachuca W (15 Feb 2025)
4. Pachuca W 3–0 Santos Laguna W (16 Sep 2024)
5. Pachuca W 4–0 Santos Laguna W (26 Mar 2024)