Spain · Tercera División RFEF - Group 16
Oyonesa vs Varea Prediction
Match prediction
- Varea's unbeaten start and superior defensive record justify the draw-or-away double chance, though the model's equal 45% draw and away probabilities show the outright winner is far from settled.
- Oyonesa's attack rating exceeds Varea's, but their leaky defence and two losses in four suggest that edge may not translate into a home win.
- The head-to-head is split evenly with several low-scoring draws, reinforcing the draw component of the double chance rather than a decisive away victory.
- Both teams' goal data show almost every match staying under 2.5 goals, which supports the -3.5 goals component of the advice.
- Varea's three draws in four matches and Oyonesa's alternating results point to a tight, low-scoring contest consistent with the cautious combined prediction.
- The modest 10% home win probability reflects Oyonesa's poor form and defensive vulnerability, making the draw-or-Varea combination the more defensible side of the advice.
- Predicted winner
- Varea
- Betting advice
- Combo Double chance : draw or Varea and -3.5 goals
- Home win probability
- 10%
- Draw probability
- 45%
- Away win probability
- 45%
- Goals market
- -3.5
Prediction comparison
| Factor | Oyonesa | Varea |
|---|---|---|
| Form | 40.0% | 60.0% |
| Attack | 57.0% | 43.0% |
| Defence | 25.0% | 75.0% |
| Poisson | 45.0% | 55.0% |
| H2h | 50.0% | 50.0% |
| Goals | 60.0% | 40.0% |
| Total | 46.2% | 53.8% |
Team form and goal analysis
Oyonesa
Recent form: LLWD.
Average goals scored: 1.00 per match.
Varea
Recent form: DDDW.
Average goals scored: 0.80 per match.
Head-to-head record
- Varea 0–2 Oyonesa (24 May 2026)
- Oyonesa 0–0 Varea (17 May 2026)
- Varea 0–1 Oyonesa (10 May 2026)
- Oyonesa 0–1 Varea (10 Jan 2026)
- Varea 1–0 Oyonesa (08 Jun 2025)


