Ostrov vs Chomutov Prediction

Match prediction

• Chomutov's seven wins in eight matches and four clean sheets sharply contrast Ostrov's five defeats, supporting the away side's dominance in the model's 45% win probability.
• Ostrov's defence concedes 2.8 goals per game while Chomutov allows only 0.6, a gap that justifies the low 10% home win probability.
• The draw also carries 45%, reflecting that Ostrov's attack scores 1.8 per game and head-to-head history shows three draws in the last six meetings.
• Chomutov's recent form includes a loss to Slaný, showing the favourite is not invincible and supporting the double chance rather than a straight away win.
• Ostrov's head-to-head edge of 62% against Chomutov's 38% is a meaningful counterweight, explaining why the model splits probability evenly between draw and away win.
• Both attacks rate equally at 50%, so the prediction rests mainly on Chomutov's defensive superiority rather than any attacking mismatch.

Predicted winner

Chomutov

Betting advice

Double chance : draw or Chomutov

Home win probability

10%

Draw probability

45%

Away win probability

45%

Goals market

—

Prediction comparison

Team form and goal analysis

Head-to-head record

1. Ostrov 1–0 Chomutov (30 May 2026)
2. Chomutov 1–1 Ostrov (31 Oct 2025)
3. Ostrov 3–3 Chomutov (12 Jun 2024)
4. Chomutov 3–0 Ostrov (04 Nov 2023)
5. Chomutov 2–3 Ostrov (17 Jun 2022)