Orsomarso vs Quindio Prediction
· Estadio Daniel Villa Zapata
OUR RECOMMENDATIONCombo Double chance : draw or Quindio and -3.5 goals
Match prediction
- Quindio's superior form, defence, and Poisson scores justify the model's 45% away win probability, though the identical draw probability makes the double chance the safer expression.
- Orsomarso's weak home record of four wins in twelve, with seven home blanks, supports the low 10% home probability and the advice against a home result.
- Both attacks average around one goal per game, and neither side has exceeded 3.5 goals in any league match, reinforcing the under 3.5 goals selection.
- Head-to-head scoring is historically low, with five of the last ten meetings goalless or 1-1, which strengthens the draw component of the double chance.
- Quindio's recent away form includes a 3-1 loss and two goalless draws, a small-sample warning that tempers confidence in an outright away win.
- Orsomarso's attack scores 65% of goals after halftime while Quindio concedes 57% late, suggesting goals may arrive late but remain limited in number.
- Predicted winner
- Quindio
- Betting advice
- Combo Double chance : draw or Quindio and -3.5 goals
- Home win probability
- 10%
- Draw probability
- 45%
- Away win probability
- 45%
- Goals market
- -3.5
Prediction comparison
| Factor | Orsomarso | Quindio |
|---|---|---|
| Form | 29.0% | 71.0% |
| Attack | 50.0% | 50.0% |
| Defence | 38.0% | 62.0% |
| Poisson | 34.0% | 66.0% |
| H2h | 50.0% | 50.0% |
| Goals | 55.0% | 45.0% |
| Total | 42.7% | 57.3% |
Team form and goal analysis
Orsomarso
Recent form: WLWDDLLLDWWDLLDWDDWLLLDLD.
Average goals scored: 0.80 per match.
Quindio
Recent form: WWWDWWLWDDWDLWWWDWWLLLDDWWDDLLW.
Average goals scored: 1.00 per match.
Head-to-head record
- Quindio 2–2 Orsomarso (27 Mar 2026)
- Orsomarso 2–3 Quindio (20 Oct 2025)
- Quindio 0–0 Orsomarso (14 May 2025)
- Quindio 0–2 Orsomarso (19 Nov 2024)
- Orsomarso 0–0 Quindio (04 Nov 2024)