Ligue 3 · France

Orleans vs Cannes Prediction

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Orleans badgeOrleans vs Cannes badgeCannes

Match prediction

The existing model favours Cannes as the winner, yet its own probabilities split evenly at 50% draw and 50% away with 0% for Orleans, so the advice rests on a narrow distinction rather than a clear edge. That distinction is reinforced by the comparison metrics, where Cannes leads on form (69 versus 31), attack (70 versus 30), defence (80 versus 20) and especially Poisson (95 versus 5), while the head-to-head, goals and total splits are either empty or only mildly tilted. The team analysis explains the gap: Cannes are unbeaten across seven matches with five draws and two wins, whereas Orleans have lost four of seven and all three of their home fixtures without keeping a single home clean sheet. Orleans' goals profile is the weaker side of the argument, with 0.90 scored and 1.40 conceded per game on average, including 2.30 conceded per home match and a 0-4 home defeat to Versailles. Cannes' defensive record is the strongest single evidence in the file, conceding just 0.40 per game overall and 0.30 at home, with four clean sheets and no match in which they conceded more than once. The last-five records sharpen that contrast: Orleans have lost three of five, scoring only three goals and failing to score in three of those matches, while Cannes are unbeaten in five with two wins and three draws, including a 3-0 away win at Versailles. Cannes' tendency to draw is the main qualifier on the advice, since five draws in seven matches and three consecutive draws suggest a win is far from assured even against a struggling host. The head-to-head section is empty, so no historical fixture evidence can either support or undercut the model's lean toward Cannes. Overall, the form, defensive and Poisson metrics point the same way as the prediction, but the 50% draw probability and Cannes' draw-heavy profile mean the winner advice should be read as a modest lean rather than a confident outcome.

Predicted winner
Cannes
Betting advice
Winner : Cannes
Home win probability
0%
Draw probability
50%
Away win probability
50%
Goals market
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Prediction comparison

FactorOrleansCannes
Form31.0%69.0%
Attack30.0%70.0%
Defence20.0%80.0%
Poisson5.0%95.0%
H2h0.0%0.0%
Goals0.0%0.0%
Total21.5%78.5%

Team form and goal analysis

Orleans

Recent form: WLWLDLL.

Average goals scored: 0.90 per match.

Cannes

Recent form: DDDWWDD.

Average goals scored: 1.10 per match.

Head-to-head record

No recorded head-to-head matches are available.

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