Orlando Pride W vs San Diego Wave W Prediction
Match prediction
- The model's 45% draw and 45% away split makes double chance the logical expression of its uncertainty, since neither outcome dominates.
- San Diego's stronger form and defensive record support the away side, yet Orlando's superior head-to-head and goal metrics pull against a clean away win.
- Orlando's attack and goals scored edge slightly higher, but San Diego's far better defence and recent form explain why the model still favours the visitors.
- San Diego's last five show four wins with three clean sheets, while Orlando's inconsistency and heavy loss to Portland weaken the home case.
- Head-to-head favours Orlando strongly, but recent meetings were split, so that historical edge may be less decisive than it appears.
- Both teams' low-scoring profiles and San Diego's defensive solidity suggest a tight match, reinforcing draw coverage alongside the away side.
- Predicted winner
- San Diego Wave W
- Betting advice
- Double chance : draw or San Diego Wave W
- Home win probability
- 10%
- Draw probability
- 45%
- Away win probability
- 45%
- Goals market
- —
Prediction comparison
| Factor | Orlando Pride W | San Diego Wave W |
|---|---|---|
| Form | 37.0% | 63.0% |
| Attack | 53.0% | 47.0% |
| Defence | 29.0% | 71.0% |
| Poisson | 37.0% | 63.0% |
| H2h | 93.0% | 7.0% |
| Goals | 70.0% | 30.0% |
| Total | 53.2% | 46.8% |
Team form and goal analysis
Orlando Pride W
Recent form: LDWDWLLWLLWWLWLLWLLLWLWDLW.
Average goals scored: 1.30 per match.
San Diego Wave W
Recent form: LWWWWWLLWWDLWWLDLWLDWWLWWW.
Average goals scored: 1.50 per match.
Head-to-head record
- San Diego Wave W 0–1 Orlando Pride W (25 May 2026)
- San Diego Wave W 1–2 Orlando Pride W (27 Sep 2025)
- Orlando Pride W 2–1 San Diego Wave W (29 Mar 2025)
- San Diego Wave W 1–1 Orlando Pride W (08 Jun 2024)
- Orlando Pride W 1–0 San Diego Wave W (20 Apr 2024)