Orange County SC vs Monterey Bay Prediction
· Championship Soccer Stadium
Match prediction
- The model's 45% draw and 45% away split makes double chance the logical expression of a prediction that cannot separate the two outcomes.
- Monterey Bay's attack and goals metrics outweigh Orange County's superior form, explaining why the model still favours the visitors despite recent results.
- Orange County's strong form score conflicts with their weak Poisson and head-to-head numbers, so the model treats that form as less predictive.
- Monterey Bay's away record of zero wins from thirteen undermines the away half of the advice, keeping the draw probability equally high.
- Head-to-head results lean toward Monterey Bay, supporting the away component of the double chance rather than a home selection.
- Both teams' low-scoring profiles and Orange County's recent blanks suggest the draw leg carries real weight in this advice.
- Predicted winner
- Monterey Bay
- Betting advice
- Double chance : draw or Monterey Bay
- Home win probability
- 10%
- Draw probability
- 45%
- Away win probability
- 45%
- Goals market
- —
Prediction comparison
| Factor | Orange County SC | Monterey Bay |
|---|---|---|
| Form | 71.0% | 29.0% |
| Attack | 38.0% | 63.0% |
| Defence | 47.0% | 53.0% |
| Poisson | 62.0% | 38.0% |
| H2h | 29.0% | 71.0% |
| Goals | 36.0% | 64.0% |
| Total | 47.2% | 53.0% |
Team form and goal analysis
Orange County SC
Recent form: DDWWLWWDLDWDWWDDWWLLLDDLLW.
Average goals scored: 1.30 per match.
Monterey Bay
Recent form: LLDLDLLLLWWWLWDLLLLLDLDDLL.
Average goals scored: 1.00 per match.
Head-to-head record
- Monterey Bay 1–2 Orange County SC (26 Jul 2026)
- Monterey Bay 2–1 Orange County SC (12 Jul 2025)
- Monterey Bay 3–2 Orange County SC (01 Jun 2025)
- Orange County SC 0–3 Monterey Bay (23 Mar 2025)
- Monterey Bay 0–0 Orange County SC (22 Sep 2024)