Oppsal vs Brumunddal Prediction

Match prediction

The existing model output favours Oppsal with a 45% home win and 45% draw against only 10% for Brumunddal, and its advice combines an Oppsal-or-draw double chance with over 1.5 goals, so the evidence needs to justify both the result lean and the goal expectation. The comparison metrics broadly reinforce that lean, with Oppsal ahead on form (60 versus 40), attack (53 versus 47), defence (58 versus 42), Poisson (77 versus 23), goals (80 versus 20) and total (65.6 versus 34.4), while the head-to-head split of 100 to 0 is the most extreme but also the least reliable given it rests on a single match. That lone meeting, a 4-1 Oppsal away win at Brumunddal in May 2026, is consistent with the overall direction but is too small a sample to carry much independent weight. The season records tell a similar story of separation: Oppsal have 9 wins, 3 draws and 8 losses from 20 games, whereas Brumunddal have just 3 wins, 3 draws and 14 losses, including a six-match losing streak and heavy defeats such as 1-9 at home and 11-0 away. Oppsal's goal profile is moderately positive, averaging 1.80 scored and 1.50 conceded, with a notable 34.29% of their goals arriving in the 76-90 window, which hints at late-game scoring that could matter for the over 1.5 element. Brumunddal's goal analysis is far more troubled, averaging only 1.20 scored but 4.10 conceded, and their defensive numbers are especially stark at 3.50 at home and 4.90 away, with 14 of 20 matches seeing over 2.5 goals against them. The last-five records add nuance rather than pure confirmation: Oppsal have won two of five but lost three, including a 0-4 home defeat to Elverum, while Brumunddal have one win, one draw and three losses, so recent form is mixed for both even though Brumunddal's underlying season is clearly weaker. The main tension is that the probabilities give the draw the same 45% as an Oppsal win, which sits awkwardly with the comparison metrics that are almost uniformly one-sided, suggesting the model may be pricing in Oppsal's inconsistency rather than genuine Brumunddal strength. Overall, the evidence supports the existing double-chance advice and the over 1.5 goals expectation, but the draw probability and the small head-to-head sample mean the result lean should be treated as plausible rather than certain.

Predicted winner

Oppsal

Betting advice

Combo Double chance : Oppsal or draw and +1.5 goals

Home win probability

45%

Draw probability

45%

Away win probability

10%

Goals market

+1.5

Prediction comparison

Team form and goal analysis

Head-to-head record

1. Brumunddal 1–4 Oppsal (09 May 2026)