Onsala vs Qviding FIF Prediction

Match prediction

The existing model favours Onsala through a double-chance advice of “Onsala or draw,” with home and draw probabilities both at 45% against just 10% for Qviding, so the recommendation rests on the combined home-and-draw outcome rather than a clear home win. That caution is supported by the comparison metrics, where Qviding lead on form (60.00 vs 40.00) and attack (57.00 vs 43.00), while the two sides are level on defence at 50.00, meaning the away team’s edge in recent and offensive indicators sits awkwardly against the model’s strong home lean. The Poisson and head-to-head metrics help reconcile this tension: Poisson slightly favours Onsala at 54.00 to 46.00, and the head-to-head record is far more emphatic at 80.00 to 20.00, which likely explains why the model still tilts heavily toward the home side despite Qviding’s better form and attack scores. The goals comparison reinforces that tilt, with Onsala ahead on goals at 67.00 to 33.00 and on the total metric at 55.70 to 44.30, suggesting the model weights scoring and historical match-up evidence more heavily than current form. Onsala’s season profile is mixed rather than dominant, with 7 wins, 6 draws and 9 losses from 22 matches, and their form string of LDLDLWDWWDLDWLDWLLLLWW shows a recent upturn after a difficult run, including back-to-back 2-0 wins over Astrio and Galtabacks in their last five. Qviding’s record is slightly better on wins alone, with 9 wins, 4 draws and 9 losses from 22, but their last five are inconsistent, featuring a 4-1 home win over Torslanda and a 2-1 away win at Åstorp alongside a 5-0 defeat at Böljan and a 1-2 home loss to Dalstorps. The goals analysis adds further nuance, as Qviding score more overall (42 goals, 1.90 per game) than Onsala (31 goals, 1.40 per game), yet both concede at similar rates, with Onsala at 1.60 and Qviding at 1.90 per game, and Qviding’s late concessions are notable, with 10 goals against in the 76-90 minute window. The head-to-head record is the strongest single support for the advice, since Onsala have won three of the last eight meetings, including a 4-0 home win in 2023 and a 3-2 home win in 2025, while Qviding won the most recent encounter 2-1 in May 2026 and also triumphed 3-1 in October 2025. Overall, the double-chance advice looks defensible given the head-to-head dominance, Poisson edge and Onsala’s recent two clean-sheet wins, but the 45% draw probability and Qviding’s superior form and scoring output mean the home win is far from assured, and the model’s confidence should be treated as a lean rather than a certainty.

Predicted winner

Onsala

Betting advice

Double chance : Onsala or draw

Home win probability

45%

Draw probability

45%

Away win probability

10%

Goals market

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Prediction comparison

Team form and goal analysis

Head-to-head record

1. Qviding FIF 1–2 Onsala (22 May 2026)
2. Qviding FIF 3–1 Onsala (05 Oct 2025)
3. Onsala 3–2 Qviding FIF (14 Jun 2025)
4. Qviding FIF 0–2 Onsala (20 Aug 2023)
5. Onsala 4–0 Qviding FIF (21 Apr 2023)