USA · USL League One

One Knoxville vs Chattanooga Red Wolves Prediction

· Regal Stadium

OUR RECOMMENDATIONDouble chance : draw or Chattanooga Red Wolves

One Knoxville badgeOne Knoxville vs Chattanooga Red Wolves badgeChattanooga Red Wolves

Match prediction

  • The model's 45-45 split between away win and draw, with only 10% for One Knoxville, directly justifies the draw-or-Chattanooga double chance.
  • Chattanooga's superior form and defensive rating outweigh One Knoxville's attacking edge, supporting the away side's higher overall comparison score.
  • One Knoxville's recent home draws and losses suggest they struggle to convert home advantage, reinforcing the low 10% home win probability.
  • Chattanooga's poor away record and low away clean sheets introduce risk, which explains why the model hedges with draw coverage rather than a straight away win.
  • Head-to-head results slightly favour Chattanooga and include recent draws, aligning with the model's near-equal away and draw probabilities.
  • Both teams' goal profiles point to a low-scoring affair, consistent with the draw component of the advice despite no under-over prediction being issued.
Predicted winner
Chattanooga Red Wolves
Betting advice
Double chance : draw or Chattanooga Red Wolves
Home win probability
10%
Draw probability
45%
Away win probability
45%
Goals market
—

Prediction comparison

FactorOne KnoxvilleChattanooga Red Wolves
Form42.0%58.0%
Attack55.0%45.0%
Defence30.0%70.0%
Poisson52.0%48.0%
H2h40.0%60.0%
Goals50.0%50.0%
Total44.8%55.2%

Team form and goal analysis

One Knoxville

Recent form: WLDWWDWWLDWWWWWLLLWDDDDWDWLDL.

Average goals scored: 1.60 per match.

Chattanooga Red Wolves

Recent form: WDLLWLWLWWWLWWWLLWLDLWWDWDLLW.

Average goals scored: 1.70 per match.

Head-to-head record

  1. Chattanooga Red Wolves 1–0 One Knoxville (26 Jul 2026)
  2. One Knoxville 1–1 Chattanooga Red Wolves (11 Jun 2026)
  3. One Knoxville 2–0 Chattanooga Red Wolves (02 Oct 2025)
  4. Chattanooga Red Wolves 1–0 One Knoxville (27 Jul 2025)
  5. Chattanooga Red Wolves 1–0 One Knoxville (06 Jul 2025)
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