Łomża vs Olimpia Elbląg Prediction

Match prediction

• The model's near-even split, with home and draw each at 35%, explains why the safer double-chance advice is preferred over backing a single winner.
• Olimpia's stronger recent form and Poisson edge conflict with Łomża's head-to-head and goals dominance, so the model tempers its home lean accordingly.
• Łomża's winless record across ten matches, with seven defeats, makes the outright home win risky despite the favourable venue history.
• Both attacks rate equally, yet Łomża's defensive edge and higher goals rating suggest the hosts are likelier to avoid defeat than to win.
• Olimpia's away defensive record of three goals conceded per game supports the draw component of the double chance rather than a comfortable home victory.
• Head-to-head results show home advantage deciding recent meetings, reinforcing Łomża's inclusion in the double chance despite poor current form.

Predicted winner

Łomża

Betting advice

Double chance : Łomża or draw

Home win probability

35%

Draw probability

35%

Away win probability

30%

Goals market

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Prediction comparison

Team form and goal analysis

Head-to-head record

1. Olimpia Elbląg 0–3 Łomża (28 Mar 2026)
2. Łomża 3–0 Olimpia Elbląg (06 Sep 2025)
3. Olimpia Elbląg 1–1 Łomża (06 Jul 2024)
4. Olimpia Elbląg 2–0 Łomża (20 Jan 2024)