Olimpija Ljubljana vs NK Slaven Belupo Prediction
Olimpija Ljubljana vs
NK Slaven Belupo
Final result: Olimpija Ljubljana 2–1 NK Slaven Belupo (Match Finished)
Match prediction
- The model's 45% draw and 45% away split makes the double-chance advice the coherent expression of near-equal probabilities, while the 10% home figure is the outlier.
- Slaven Belupo's superior attack rating and Olimpija's weaker defence support the away-leaning edge, though the Poisson split is nearly even.
- Both teams' identical 50% form and the absence of head-to-head history weaken any claim of a decisive away advantage.
- Olimpija's home record of one win in five, with three losses, undercuts the low 10% home probability and reinforces avoiding a home-only position.
- Slaven Belupo's away sample is just one match, so their 3.00 away scoring average and 5.00 away concession rate are too small to trust.
- Frequent goals across both teams' recent matches justify the +1.5 goals component, since most fixtures cleared that threshold.
- Predicted winner
- NK Slaven Belupo
- Betting advice
- Combo Double chance : draw or NK Slaven Belupo and +1.5 goals
- Home win probability
- 10%
- Draw probability
- 45%
- Away win probability
- 45%
- Goals market
- +1.5
Prediction comparison
| Factor | Olimpija Ljubljana | NK Slaven Belupo |
|---|---|---|
| Form | 50.0% | 50.0% |
| Attack | 38.0% | 63.0% |
| Defence | 58.0% | 42.0% |
| Poisson | 51.0% | 49.0% |
| H2h | 0.0% | 0.0% |
| Goals | 0.0% | 0.0% |
| Total | 49.3% | 51.0% |
Team form and goal analysis
Olimpija Ljubljana
Recent form: WWLDLL.
Average goals scored: 1.30 per match.
NK Slaven Belupo
Recent form: WWDLLWLLLDW.
Average goals scored: 2.40 per match.
Head-to-head record
No recorded head-to-head matches are available.
