Spain · Tercera División RFEF - Group 13

Olímpico Totana vs UCAM Murcia II Prediction

Olímpico Totana badgeOlímpico Totana vs UCAM Murcia II badgeUCAM Murcia II

Match prediction

  • The model's 45% draw and 45% away split makes double chance the logical expression of a near-even contest rather than a confident away pick.
  • Identical 50% form and defence ratings for both sides undercut any claim of clear superiority, supporting the cautious draw-or-away advice.
  • UCAM Murcia II's stronger attack and goal metrics, plus an 85% head-to-head edge, explain why the away side carries the model's favour.
  • Olímpico Totana's superior Poisson share conflicts with its weaker attack and head-to-head record, a tension the draw-or-away advice absorbs.
  • Both teams scoring in every recent outing and neither exceeding 2.5 goals suggests a tight, low-scoring match consistent with the draw component.
  • Small four-match samples and a head-to-head record spanning years limit how firmly any trend should be read into this prediction.
Predicted winner
UCAM Murcia II
Betting advice
Double chance : draw or UCAM Murcia II
Home win probability
10%
Draw probability
45%
Away win probability
45%
Goals market
—

Prediction comparison

FactorOlímpico TotanaUCAM Murcia II
Form50.0%50.0%
Attack38.0%62.0%
Defence50.0%50.0%
Poisson65.0%35.0%
H2h15.0%85.0%
Goals25.0%75.0%
Total40.5%59.5%

Team form and goal analysis

Olímpico Totana

Recent form: DLWD.

Average goals scored: 1.30 per match.

UCAM Murcia II

Recent form: LWDD.

Average goals scored: 2.00 per match.

Head-to-head record

  1. Olímpico Totana 2–2 UCAM Murcia II (21 Feb 2026)
  2. UCAM Murcia II 1–0 Olímpico Totana (12 Oct 2025)
  3. UCAM Murcia II 1–0 Olímpico Totana (21 Mar 2021)
  4. Olímpico Totana 0–2 UCAM Murcia II (20 Dec 2020)
  5. Olímpico Totana —–— UCAM Murcia II (26 Apr 2020)
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