Spain · Tercera División RFEF - Group 13
Olímpico Totana vs UCAM Murcia II Prediction
Match prediction
- The model's 45% draw and 45% away split makes double chance the logical expression of a near-even contest rather than a confident away pick.
- Identical 50% form and defence ratings for both sides undercut any claim of clear superiority, supporting the cautious draw-or-away advice.
- UCAM Murcia II's stronger attack and goal metrics, plus an 85% head-to-head edge, explain why the away side carries the model's favour.
- Olímpico Totana's superior Poisson share conflicts with its weaker attack and head-to-head record, a tension the draw-or-away advice absorbs.
- Both teams scoring in every recent outing and neither exceeding 2.5 goals suggests a tight, low-scoring match consistent with the draw component.
- Small four-match samples and a head-to-head record spanning years limit how firmly any trend should be read into this prediction.
- Predicted winner
- UCAM Murcia II
- Betting advice
- Double chance : draw or UCAM Murcia II
- Home win probability
- 10%
- Draw probability
- 45%
- Away win probability
- 45%
- Goals market
- —
Prediction comparison
| Factor | Olímpico Totana | UCAM Murcia II |
|---|---|---|
| Form | 50.0% | 50.0% |
| Attack | 38.0% | 62.0% |
| Defence | 50.0% | 50.0% |
| Poisson | 65.0% | 35.0% |
| H2h | 15.0% | 85.0% |
| Goals | 25.0% | 75.0% |
| Total | 40.5% | 59.5% |
Team form and goal analysis
Olímpico Totana
Recent form: DLWD.
Average goals scored: 1.30 per match.
UCAM Murcia II
Recent form: LWDD.
Average goals scored: 2.00 per match.
Head-to-head record
- Olímpico Totana 2–2 UCAM Murcia II (21 Feb 2026)
- UCAM Murcia II 1–0 Olímpico Totana (12 Oct 2025)
- UCAM Murcia II 1–0 Olímpico Totana (21 Mar 2021)
- Olímpico Totana 0–2 UCAM Murcia II (20 Dec 2020)
- Olímpico Totana —–— UCAM Murcia II (26 Apr 2020)


