Oita Trinita vs Montedio Yamagata Prediction

Match prediction

• The model's 45% draw and 45% away split makes the double-chance advice coherent, since only a home win would defeat it.
• Oita's five draws in eight matches and four straight stalemates reinforce the draw half of the double chance.
• Yamagata's superior form, attack, and head-to-head metrics explain why the away probability matches the draw rather than trailing it.
• Both teams' goal data show almost every match staying under 3.5, supporting the -3.5 goals component of the advice.
• Yamagata's four wins and four losses without a single draw slightly undercut the draw probability, though their away form remains mixed.
• Oita's weak 10% home win probability is the main risk to the advice, but their low scoring limits that threat.

Predicted winner

Montedio Yamagata

Betting advice

Combo Double chance : draw or Montedio Yamagata and -3.5 goals

Home win probability

10%

Draw probability

45%

Away win probability

45%

Goals market

-3.5

Prediction comparison

Team form and goal analysis

Head-to-head record

1. Oita Trinita 1–0 Montedio Yamagata (07 Jun 2026)
2. Oita Trinita 1–2 Montedio Yamagata (02 Nov 2025)
3. Montedio Yamagata 3–0 Oita Trinita (06 May 2025)
4. Oita Trinita 0–3 Montedio Yamagata (07 Sep 2024)
5. Montedio Yamagata 0–0 Oita Trinita (09 Jun 2024)