3. SNL - East · Slovenia

Odranci vs Šampion Celje Prediction

Odranci badgeOdranci vs Šampion Celje badgeŠampion Celje

Match prediction

The existing model output leans toward Odranci as the winner, with a 45% home probability and an identical 45% draw probability leaving only 10% for Šampion Celje, and the advised combination of an Odranci win with over 2.5 goals reflects that same lean. That split between home and draw is notable because it suggests the model sees the result as far from settled, even though the comparison metrics are heavily one-sided: Odranci lead form 76 to 24, attack 67 to 33, defence 53 to 47, Poisson 72 to 28, and total 67 to 33. The head-to-head, goals, and h2h comparison columns are all populated with zeros, and the head-to-head record itself is empty, so there is no historical meeting data to either reinforce or contradict the model's view. Odranci's team analysis shows a W W W W W D sequence across six matches with five wins and one draw, no defeats, and no clean sheets, which supports the attacking half of the advice but also hints that their matches tend to stay open. Their goals analysis reinforces that openness, with 19 goals scored at 3.20 per game and 10 conceded at 1.70, and over 2.5 goals landing in five of six matches while over 3.5 landed only once. Šampion Celje's L D L W L L form over six matches, with four defeats and only one win, contrasts sharply with Odranci's unbeaten run, yet their goals profile is more mixed than their form suggests: they scored 10 at 1.70 per game but conceded 13 at 2.20, including 3.30 per away game. Their last five results show the volatility behind that average, with a 4-0 home win over Limbuš Pekre followed by a 0-2 home loss to Dobrovce and a 3-4 away defeat at Fužinar, so they can both score and collapse. Odranci's last five are similarly high-scoring but more consistent, featuring a 3-3 draw at Videm, a 3-1 win at Dobrovce, a 5-3 home win over Fužinar, and 2-1 and 3-1 victories, which together support the over 2.5 element while leaving the clean-sheet question unresolved. The main tension is that the probabilities give the draw the same 45% as an Odranci win despite Odranci's far stronger form and Poisson edge, so the advice should be read as a lean rather than a confident call, especially since Šampion Celje's away defensive numbers are poor but their occasional scoring bursts could keep the match close.

Predicted winner
Odranci
Betting advice
Combo Winner : Odranci and +2.5 goals
Home win probability
45%
Draw probability
45%
Away win probability
10%
Goals market
+2.5

Prediction comparison

FactorOdranciŠampion Celje
Form76.0%24.0%
Attack67.0%33.0%
Defence53.0%47.0%
Poisson72.0%28.0%
H2h0.0%0.0%
Goals0.0%0.0%
Total67.0%33.0%

Team form and goal analysis

Odranci

Recent form: WWWWWD.

Average goals scored: 3.20 per match.

Šampion Celje

Recent form: LDLWLL.

Average goals scored: 1.70 per match.

Head-to-head record

No recorded head-to-head matches are available.

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