Bulgaria · Third League - Southwest
Oborishte vs Kyustendil Prediction
Match prediction
- Oborishte's unbeaten nine-match record with six wins contrasts sharply with Kyustendil's five defeats, supporting the home-winner advice.
- Kyustendil's away form is especially weak, with no away wins and just two draws from four, reinforcing the home advantage.
- Oborishte's superior attack and defence metrics, plus a stronger Poisson rating, point to a clear edge beyond recent form alone.
- The head-to-head record is mixed and venue-dependent, so it only mildly supports the home side rather than confirming dominance.
- Kyustendil's low scoring and failure to keep any clean sheets suggest they are unlikely to overturn the model's lean.
- The 50-50 split between home win and draw probabilities means the advice carries real risk despite Oborishte's stronger profile.
- Predicted winner
- Oborishte
- Betting advice
- Winner : Oborishte
- Home win probability
- 50%
- Draw probability
- 50%
- Away win probability
- 0%
- Goals market
- —
Prediction comparison
| Factor | Oborishte | Kyustendil |
|---|---|---|
| Form | 76.0% | 24.0% |
| Attack | 73.0% | 27.0% |
| Defence | 73.0% | 27.0% |
| Poisson | 80.0% | 20.0% |
| H2h | 60.0% | 40.0% |
| Goals | 64.0% | 36.0% |
| Total | 71.0% | 29.0% |
Team form and goal analysis
Oborishte
Recent form: DDWWDWWWW.
Average goals scored: 2.20 per match.
Kyustendil
Recent form: WLLDWDLLL.
Average goals scored: 0.90 per match.
Head-to-head record
- Kyustendil 2–1 Oborishte (09 May 2026)
- Oborishte 1–0 Kyustendil (25 Oct 2025)
- Oborishte 2–1 Kyustendil (23 Apr 2025)
- Kyustendil 2–1 Oborishte (28 Sep 2024)
- Oborishte 4–0 Kyustendil (08 May 2024)