Germany · Oberliga - Baden-Württemberg
Oberachern vs FC Holzhausen Prediction
Match prediction
- The model's 45% away win and 45% draw probabilities make the double-chance advice the coherent expression of a near-even split, not a confident away pick.
- Oberachern's superior form, attack, and Poisson scores conflict with the head-to-head and goals metrics, which is why the model caps the home win at just 10%.
- Holzhausen's 91% head-to-head share and 69% goals share anchor the away lean, though four meetings is a small sample.
- Oberachern's 2.10 goals per game against Holzhausen's leaky 1.40 conceded average suggests the home side can score, supporting the draw half of the advice.
- Holzhausen's stronger away scoring, 2.30 per game, offsets Oberachern's solid 0.80 home defence, keeping both outcomes plausible.
- Both teams' recent form is mixed, so the model's near-equal draw and away probabilities reflect genuine uncertainty rather than a clear edge.
- Predicted winner
- FC Holzhausen
- Betting advice
- Double chance : draw or FC Holzhausen
- Home win probability
- 10%
- Draw probability
- 45%
- Away win probability
- 45%
- Goals market
- —
Prediction comparison
| Factor | Oberachern | FC Holzhausen |
|---|---|---|
| Form | 53.0% | 47.0% |
| Attack | 57.0% | 43.0% |
| Defence | 50.0% | 50.0% |
| Poisson | 65.0% | 35.0% |
| H2h | 9.0% | 91.0% |
| Goals | 31.0% | 69.0% |
| Total | 44.2% | 55.8% |
Team form and goal analysis
Oberachern
Recent form: WWWWLWWDD.
Average goals scored: 2.10 per match.
FC Holzhausen
Recent form: DWLWWLLWD.
Average goals scored: 1.70 per match.
Head-to-head record
- Oberachern 0–1 FC Holzhausen (27 Apr 2024)
- FC Holzhausen 3–3 Oberachern (07 Oct 2023)
- Oberachern 1–2 FC Holzhausen (01 Apr 2023)
- FC Holzhausen 3–0 Oberachern (14 Sep 2022)


