Germany · Oberliga - Baden-Württemberg

Oberachern vs FC Holzhausen Prediction

Oberachern badgeOberachern vs FC Holzhausen badgeFC Holzhausen

Match prediction

  • The model's 45% away win and 45% draw probabilities make the double-chance advice the coherent expression of a near-even split, not a confident away pick.
  • Oberachern's superior form, attack, and Poisson scores conflict with the head-to-head and goals metrics, which is why the model caps the home win at just 10%.
  • Holzhausen's 91% head-to-head share and 69% goals share anchor the away lean, though four meetings is a small sample.
  • Oberachern's 2.10 goals per game against Holzhausen's leaky 1.40 conceded average suggests the home side can score, supporting the draw half of the advice.
  • Holzhausen's stronger away scoring, 2.30 per game, offsets Oberachern's solid 0.80 home defence, keeping both outcomes plausible.
  • Both teams' recent form is mixed, so the model's near-equal draw and away probabilities reflect genuine uncertainty rather than a clear edge.
Predicted winner
FC Holzhausen
Betting advice
Double chance : draw or FC Holzhausen
Home win probability
10%
Draw probability
45%
Away win probability
45%
Goals market
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Prediction comparison

FactorOberachernFC Holzhausen
Form53.0%47.0%
Attack57.0%43.0%
Defence50.0%50.0%
Poisson65.0%35.0%
H2h9.0%91.0%
Goals31.0%69.0%
Total44.2%55.8%

Team form and goal analysis

Oberachern

Recent form: WWWWLWWDD.

Average goals scored: 2.10 per match.

FC Holzhausen

Recent form: DWLWWLLWD.

Average goals scored: 1.70 per match.

Head-to-head record

  1. Oberachern 0–1 FC Holzhausen (27 Apr 2024)
  2. FC Holzhausen 3–3 Oberachern (07 Oct 2023)
  3. Oberachern 1–2 FC Holzhausen (01 Apr 2023)
  4. FC Holzhausen 3–0 Oberachern (14 Sep 2022)
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