Nyva Ternopil vs Ahrobiznes Volochysk Prediction

Match prediction

The existing model gives Ahrobiznes Volochysk a 45% win probability and Nyva Ternopil only 10%, with the draw also at 45%, so the advice of a draw-or-Ahrobiznes double chance reflects a clear but not overwhelming lean toward the visitors. That lean is reinforced by the comparison metrics, where Ahrobiznes leads on attack (59 vs 41), defence (43 vs 57), Poisson (61 vs 39), head-to-head (62 vs 38), goals (56 vs 44) and overall total (55.20 vs 44.80), even though the two form scores are identical at 50.00. The form parity is somewhat misleading, because Nyva's recent record of DDLWDLLW includes only two wins from eight and no clean sheets, while Ahrobiznes' LWWDLWLW contains four wins and four clean sheets, all of which came at home. Nyva's goal profile is modest and symmetrical, averaging 1.10 scored and 1.10 conceded, with a notable concentration of goals at the start and end of matches, whereas Ahrobiznes averages 1.80 scored but 1.50 conceded, inflated by a 3.00 away concession rate and a heavy 50% share of goals against in the 76-90 minute window. The last-five records sharpen this contrast: Nyva have lost three of five, including a 0-4 home defeat to Bukovyna and a 0-1 loss at Chernihiv, while Ahrobiznes have won two of five, highlighted by a 6-0 home rout of Probiy Horodenka but also a 1-5 away collapse at Kulykiv. The head-to-head record is the strongest single qualifier to the away lean, since the last two meetings both finished 0-0 and four of the last six completed encounters were draws, with Nyva even winning 3-2 in Ternopil in September 2024. This draw-heavy history, combined with the model's equal 45% split between draw and away win, suggests the double chance is a cautious way of capturing Ahrobiznes' statistical edge while acknowledging that Nyva have repeatedly held them. The main tension is that Ahrobiznes' advantage is built largely on home form and clean sheets, while their away record shows one win, two defeats and a 3.00 goals-against average, so the venue may narrow the gap more than the aggregate metrics imply. Overall, the evidence supports the existing draw-or-Ahrobiznes advice as a reasonable hedge rather than a confident away victory, with the head-to-head stalemates and Ahrobiznes' away vulnerability the clearest reasons for uncertainty.

Predicted winner

Ahrobiznes Volochysk

Betting advice

Double chance : draw or Ahrobiznes Volochysk

Home win probability

10%

Draw probability

45%

Away win probability

45%

Goals market

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Prediction comparison

Team form and goal analysis

Head-to-head record

1. Ahrobiznes Volochysk 0–0 Nyva Ternopil (20 Mar 2026)
2. Nyva Ternopil 0–0 Ahrobiznes Volochysk (31 Aug 2025)
3. Ahrobiznes Volochysk 0–1 Nyva Ternopil (09 Nov 2024)
4. Nyva Ternopil 2–3 Ahrobiznes Volochysk (15 Sep 2024)
5. Ahrobiznes Volochysk 2–1 Nyva Ternopil (03 Nov 2023)