Hungary · NB III - Northeast

Nyiregyhaza II vs Salgótarjáni BTC Prediction

Nyiregyhaza II badgeNyiregyhaza II vs Salgótarjáni BTC badgeSalgótarjáni BTC

Match prediction

  • The model's 45% away win and 45% draw probabilities make the double-chance advice the coherent read, since the home side carries only a 10% win chance.
  • Nyiregyhaza II's nine-match form of one win and eight defeats, with no clean sheets, supports the low home probability despite their stronger head-to-head record.
  • Salgótarjáni's own form is poor, with seven losses in nine, so the draw component of the advice absorbs genuine uncertainty rather than reflecting away dominance.
  • The head-to-head sample is only two matches, including one draw, so its 80% home weighting should not override the broader form and probability evidence.
  • Nyiregyhaza II concede 3.80 goals per home game while Salgótarjáni score just 0.70 per match, a tension that keeps the outright away win from being clear-cut.
  • Both attacks are weak, with Salgótarjáni failing to score in four of nine, which explains why the draw shares equal probability with the away win.
Predicted winner
Salgótarjáni BTC
Betting advice
Double chance : draw or Salgótarjáni BTC
Home win probability
10%
Draw probability
45%
Away win probability
45%
Goals market
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Prediction comparison

FactorNyiregyhaza IISalgótarjáni BTC
Form0.0%100.0%
Attack57.0%43.0%
Defence32.0%68.0%
Poisson38.0%62.0%
H2h80.0%20.0%
Goals67.0%33.0%
Total54.8%45.2%

Team form and goal analysis

Nyiregyhaza II

Recent form: WLLLLLLLL.

Average goals scored: 1.10 per match.

Salgótarjáni BTC

Recent form: LLWLLLLWL.

Average goals scored: 0.70 per match.

Head-to-head record

  1. Nyiregyhaza II 1–1 Salgótarjáni BTC (24 Nov 2024)
  2. Salgótarjáni BTC 1–3 Nyiregyhaza II (07 Aug 2024)
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