Nueva Chicago vs Deportivo Maipu Prediction

Match prediction

• The model's 45% away and 45% draw probabilities justify the double-chance advice, with Nueva Chicago's 10% win share too small to back outright.
• Deportivo Maipu's 75% head-to-head edge and superior attack rating support their inclusion, though the split probabilities show the draw is equally plausible.
• Nueva Chicago's home record of only two losses in fifteen suggests the venue partially offsets their weak overall form, qualifying the away lean.
• Both teams' goal profiles show almost every match staying under 3.5, making the -3.5 goals component the most secure part of the advice.
• Deportivo Maipu's away form is notably weaker than their home form, which tempers confidence in an outright away win despite the favourable metrics.
• Recent form slightly favours Nueva Chicago, creating tension with the model's away lean that the double-chance structure appropriately absorbs.

Predicted winner

Deportivo Maipu

Betting advice

Combo Double chance : draw or Deportivo Maipu and -3.5 goals

Home win probability

10%

Draw probability

45%

Away win probability

45%

Goals market

-3.5

Prediction comparison

Team form and goal analysis

Head-to-head record

1. Deportivo Maipu 1–0 Nueva Chicago (17 May 2026)
2. Deportivo Maipu 1–0 Nueva Chicago (25 Sep 2022)
3. Deportivo Maipu 0–2 Nueva Chicago (11 Oct 2021)
4. Nueva Chicago 1–2 Deportivo Maipu (17 Jun 2021)