Ntugasaze vs Mbarara City Prediction
OUR RECOMMENDATIONCombo Double chance : Ntugasaze or draw and -3.5 goals
Match prediction
- Ntugasaze's four straight defeats and leaky defence conflict with the model's 35% home win probability, so the double chance leans on Mbarara City's own winless form.
- Mbarara City's three scoreless matches and zero goals scored support the under 3.5 goals advice despite Ntugasaze conceding heavily.
- The model's equal 35% home and draw probabilities, with away at 30%, reflect genuine uncertainty rather than a clear home edge.
- Ntugasaze's attack rating of 100 contrasts sharply with their two total goals scored, suggesting the metric overstates their offensive threat.
- Mbarara City's defence rating of 92 and two clean sheets indicate a low-scoring contest is more plausible than Ntugasaze's defensive record implies.
- With no head-to-head data and both teams winless, the draw carries meaningful weight alongside the home double chance.
- Predicted winner
- Ntugasaze
- Betting advice
- Combo Double chance : Ntugasaze or draw and -3.5 goals
- Home win probability
- 35%
- Draw probability
- 35%
- Away win probability
- 30%
- Goals market
- -3.5
Prediction comparison
| Factor | Ntugasaze | Mbarara City |
|---|---|---|
| Form | 0.0% | 100.0% |
| Attack | 100.0% | 0.0% |
| Defence | 8.0% | 92.0% |
| Poisson | 100.0% | 0.0% |
| H2h | 0.0% | 0.0% |
| Goals | 0.0% | 0.0% |
| Total | 8.0% | 92.0% |
Team form and goal analysis
Ntugasaze
Recent form: LLLL.
Average goals scored: 0.50 per match.
Mbarara City
Recent form: LDD.
Average goals scored: 0.00 per match.
Head-to-head record
No recorded head-to-head matches are available.