Novorizontino vs Goias Prediction
· Estadio Dr. Jorge Ismael de Biasi
Match prediction
- The model gives Novorizontino and the draw identical 45% probabilities, so the double chance advice reflects genuine uncertainty rather than a clear home edge.
- Novorizontino lead nearly every comparison metric, including attack, defence, form and goals, which supports backing them to at least avoid defeat.
- Goias have lost three of their last five and failed to score in each defeat, weakening their case to win away despite the draw's equal probability.
- Novorizontino's recent form is mixed with two draws and a loss, so the 45% draw probability is a real risk rather than a formality.
- Head-to-head is split, with the away side winning the most recent meeting 4-0, showing Goias can upset the home-favoured pattern.
- Both teams' goal totals cluster under 2.5, suggesting a low-scoring game where the draw component of the double chance carries added weight.
- Predicted winner
- Novorizontino
- Betting advice
- Double chance : Novorizontino or draw
- Home win probability
- 45%
- Draw probability
- 45%
- Away win probability
- 10%
- Goals market
- —
Prediction comparison
| Factor | Novorizontino | Goias |
|---|---|---|
| Form | 57.0% | 43.0% |
| Attack | 62.0% | 38.0% |
| Defence | 55.0% | 45.0% |
| Poisson | 61.0% | 39.0% |
| H2h | 60.0% | 40.0% |
| Goals | 70.0% | 30.0% |
| Total | 60.8% | 39.2% |
Team form and goal analysis
Novorizontino
Recent form: LDDWWLDWDWDWDWWWLLLWLDWWWWWDLD.
Average goals scored: 1.60 per match.
Goias
Recent form: WDWLLLLWWWDLDLWWDWDLWLLDWLLWWL.
Average goals scored: 1.00 per match.
Head-to-head record
- Goias 0–4 Novorizontino (11 Jun 2026)
- Goias 1–0 Novorizontino (16 Nov 2025)
- Novorizontino 1–0 Goias (24 Jul 2025)
- Goias 1–0 Novorizontino (24 Nov 2024)
- Novorizontino 2–1 Goias (04 Aug 2024)