Novin Ahvaz vs Shahin Bandar Ameri Prediction

Match prediction

The existing model gives Novin Ahvaz only a 10% win probability while splitting the remaining 90% evenly between a draw and a Shahin Bandar Ameri win, which is why the advice combines a draw-or-away double chance with an under 3.5 goals line. That stance is broadly consistent with the comparison metrics, where Shahin lead on form (67 versus 33) and defence (75 versus 25), although Novin Ahvaz counter with a stronger attack score (67 versus 33), so the two teams' profiles pull in different directions rather than pointing to a clear favourite. The Poisson comparison is far more one-sided, reading 100 for Shahin against 0 for Novin Ahvaz, but this sits awkwardly beside the modest 45% away win probability and the fact that both teams have drawn or lost rather than won in their short samples. Novin Ahvaz's two matches produced a loss and a draw, with a 0-1 home defeat to Niroye Zamini and a 2-2 away draw at Shenavarsazi Qeshm, leaving them without a clean sheet and failing to score in one of two games. Shahin Bandar Ameri's record is even tighter, with two draws from two matches, a 0-0 home result against Pars Jonoubi JAM and a 1-1 away draw at Naft Bandar Abbas, giving them one clean sheet and a single converted penalty. The goals analysis reinforces the low-scoring theme: Novin Ahvaz average 1.00 goal for and 1.50 against, while Shahin average just 0.50 for and 0.50 against, and both teams stayed under 2.5 and 3.5 goals in every listed match. Their goals-for timings are also narrow, with Novin Ahvaz's two goals and Shahin's one goal both arriving in the 31-45 window, while Novin Ahvaz's three concessions are spread evenly across the 0-15, 31-45 and 76-90 bands. The head-to-head section is empty, so there is no historical meeting data to either support or contradict the model's lean toward Shahin. The last-five records are also uneven in depth, since Shahin's list includes three matches from 2024 alongside their two 2026 fixtures, whereas Novin Ahvaz show only two recent games, meaning the form and defensive edges should be treated as indicative of a small sample rather than a settled pattern.

Predicted winner

Shahin Bandar Ameri

Betting advice

Combo Double chance : draw or Shahin Bandar Ameri and -3.5 goals

Home win probability

10%

Draw probability

45%

Away win probability

45%

Goals market

-3.5

Prediction comparison

Team form and goal analysis

Head-to-head record

No recorded head-to-head matches are available.