England · Women's Championship

Nottingham Forest W vs Burnley W Prediction

· City Ground

Nottingham Forest W badgeNottingham Forest W vs Burnley W badgeBurnley W

Match prediction

  • Nottingham Forest's unbeaten four-match run, including three draws, supports the double-chance advice by making a loss unlikely.
  • Burnley's four-match winless streak with three scoreless outings weakens their away threat, reinforcing the home-or-draw selection.
  • The model's 45-45 split between home and draw, with Burnley at just 10, shows the advice covers the two most probable outcomes.
  • Forest's superior attack and form ratings contrast with Burnley's defensive resilience, suggesting a tight match where the draw remains a genuine risk.
  • Both head-to-head meetings were decided by a single goal, indicating a narrow contest that justifies avoiding a straight home win.
  • Forest's tendency to draw and Burnley's low scoring make a tight, low-margin game the most plausible scenario behind the double chance.
Predicted winner
Nottingham Forest W
Betting advice
Double chance : Nottingham Forest W or draw
Home win probability
45%
Draw probability
45%
Away win probability
10%
Goals market
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Prediction comparison

FactorNottingham Forest WBurnley W
Form75.0%25.0%
Attack86.0%14.0%
Defence50.0%50.0%
Poisson100.0%0.0%
H2h50.0%50.0%
Goals50.0%50.0%
Total62.2%37.8%

Team form and goal analysis

Nottingham Forest W

Recent form: DDWD.

Average goals scored: 1.50 per match.

Burnley W

Recent form: DLLD.

Average goals scored: 0.30 per match.

Head-to-head record

  1. Nottingham Forest W 1–0 Burnley W (08 Jan 2025)
  2. Burnley W 2–1 Nottingham Forest W (05 Jan 2020)
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