Noteć Czarnków vs Flota Świnoujście Prediction
Match prediction
- The model's 45% home and 45% draw probabilities justify the double-chance advice, since the away side carries only a 10% win probability.
- Noteć's superior defensive rating, 67 versus 33, is the clearest differentiator behind the home-or-draw lean.
- Both teams share identical 50% form and attack ratings, so the prediction rests on defensive and venue factors rather than attacking superiority.
- Flota's away record shows four losses in six and a 5-0 defeat, reinforcing why the model discounts an away win.
- Noteć's home form of two wins, one draw and one loss supports the double chance, though the single home defeat cautions against a straight win.
- Head-to-head is split evenly at 50%, so recent meetings neither strongly confirm nor undermine the home-or-draw advice.
- Predicted winner
- Noteć Czarnków
- Betting advice
- Double chance : Noteć Czarnków or draw
- Home win probability
- 45%
- Draw probability
- 45%
- Away win probability
- 10%
- Goals market
- —
Prediction comparison
| Factor | Noteć Czarnków | Flota Świnoujście |
|---|---|---|
| Form | 50.0% | 50.0% |
| Attack | 50.0% | 50.0% |
| Defence | 67.0% | 33.0% |
| Poisson | 65.0% | 35.0% |
| H2h | 50.0% | 50.0% |
| Goals | 60.0% | 40.0% |
| Total | 57.0% | 43.0% |
Team form and goal analysis
Noteć Czarnków
Recent form: LLWWWLWLDL.
Average goals scored: 1.50 per match.
Flota Świnoujście
Recent form: LWWWDLWDLL.
Average goals scored: 1.50 per match.
Head-to-head record
- Flota Świnoujście 2–4 Noteć Czarnków (25 Mar 2026)
- Noteć Czarnków 1–1 Flota Świnoujście (02 Aug 2025)
- Noteć Czarnków 4–0 Flota Świnoujście (29 Mar 2025)
- Flota Świnoujście 2–1 Noteć Czarnków (31 Aug 2024)
- Noteć Czarnków 2–3 Flota Świnoujście (20 Apr 2024)


