Poland · III Liga - Group 2

Noteć Czarnków vs Flota Świnoujście Prediction

Noteć Czarnków badgeNoteć Czarnków vs Flota Świnoujście badgeFlota Świnoujście

Match prediction

  • The model's 45% home and 45% draw probabilities justify the double-chance advice, since the away side carries only a 10% win probability.
  • Noteć's superior defensive rating, 67 versus 33, is the clearest differentiator behind the home-or-draw lean.
  • Both teams share identical 50% form and attack ratings, so the prediction rests on defensive and venue factors rather than attacking superiority.
  • Flota's away record shows four losses in six and a 5-0 defeat, reinforcing why the model discounts an away win.
  • Noteć's home form of two wins, one draw and one loss supports the double chance, though the single home defeat cautions against a straight win.
  • Head-to-head is split evenly at 50%, so recent meetings neither strongly confirm nor undermine the home-or-draw advice.
Predicted winner
Noteć Czarnków
Betting advice
Double chance : Noteć Czarnków or draw
Home win probability
45%
Draw probability
45%
Away win probability
10%
Goals market
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Prediction comparison

FactorNoteć CzarnkówFlota Świnoujście
Form50.0%50.0%
Attack50.0%50.0%
Defence67.0%33.0%
Poisson65.0%35.0%
H2h50.0%50.0%
Goals60.0%40.0%
Total57.0%43.0%

Team form and goal analysis

Noteć Czarnków

Recent form: LLWWWLWLDL.

Average goals scored: 1.50 per match.

Flota Świnoujście

Recent form: LWWWDLWDLL.

Average goals scored: 1.50 per match.

Head-to-head record

  1. Flota Świnoujście 2–4 Noteć Czarnków (25 Mar 2026)
  2. Noteć Czarnków 1–1 Flota Świnoujście (02 Aug 2025)
  3. Noteć Czarnków 4–0 Flota Świnoujście (29 Mar 2025)
  4. Flota Świnoujście 2–1 Noteć Czarnków (31 Aug 2024)
  5. Noteć Czarnków 2–3 Flota Świnoujście (20 Apr 2024)
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