World · UEFA U21 Championship - Qualification

Norway U21 vs Israel U21 Prediction

· Lyse Arena

OUR RECOMMENDATIONDouble chance : Norway U21 or draw

Norway U21 badgeNorway U21 vs Israel U21 badgeIsrael U21

Match prediction

  • Norway's perfect head-to-head record and superior attacking output support the home side, but the model's 45% draw probability signals real caution.
  • Norway's recent form includes two losses and a blank against Finland, so their favorite status rests more on overall metrics than current momentum.
  • Israel's four draws in seven matches and low scoring rate explain why the model splits home win and draw evenly rather than backing Norway outright.
  • Norway's goals cluster late while Israel concede early, suggesting Norway's edge may materialize only after a potentially tight opening phase.
  • Israel's away form is resilient with just one loss, which qualifies the double chance advice by keeping a draw genuinely plausible.
  • The single head-to-head meeting is a small sample, so Norway's 100% record there should be weighted alongside their broader defensive consistency.
Predicted winner
Norway U21
Betting advice
Double chance : Norway U21 or draw
Home win probability
45%
Draw probability
45%
Away win probability
10%
Goals market
—

Prediction comparison

FactorNorway U21Israel U21
Form56.0%44.0%
Attack59.0%41.0%
Defence58.0%42.0%
Poisson77.0%23.0%
H2h100.0%0.0%
Goals100.0%0.0%
Total62.5%37.5%

Team form and goal analysis

Norway U21

Recent form: WWWWLDW.

Average goals scored: 2.60 per match.

Israel U21

Recent form: DDDLWDW.

Average goals scored: 1.30 per match.

Head-to-head record

  1. Israel U21 0–3 Norway U21 (14 Nov 2025)
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