World · UEFA U21 Championship - Qualification

Northern Ireland U21 vs Georgia U21 Prediction

· Ballymena Showgrounds

Northern Ireland U21 badgeNorthern Ireland U21 vs Georgia U21 badgeGeorgia U21

Match prediction

  • The model splits home and draw evenly at 45%, so the double-chance advice reflects genuine uncertainty rather than a clear home edge.
  • Northern Ireland's superior form, attack and defensive ratings support avoiding an away win, though the head-to-head and goals metrics sit level.
  • Georgia's away scoring average exceeds their home output, warning that the visitors carry a real goal threat despite weaker overall form.
  • Northern Ireland's away form includes heavy defeats, but their home record shows two clean sheets, reinforcing the home-or-draw lean.
  • Georgia's tendency to concede early and fail to score in several matches supports the advice, while their late scoring habit keeps a draw plausible.
  • Both teams average 1.5 goals, so the probabilities point to a tight contest where avoiding defeat matters more than a decisive home win.
Predicted winner
Northern Ireland U21
Betting advice
Double chance : Northern Ireland U21 or draw
Home win probability
45%
Draw probability
45%
Away win probability
10%
Goals market
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Prediction comparison

FactorNorthern Ireland U21Georgia U21
Form69.0%31.0%
Attack62.0%38.0%
Defence56.0%44.0%
Poisson54.0%46.0%
H2h50.0%50.0%
Goals50.0%50.0%
Total56.8%43.2%

Team form and goal analysis

Northern Ireland U21

Recent form: DWLWLLWW.

Average goals scored: 1.50 per match.

Georgia U21

Recent form: DDWLLDWL.

Average goals scored: 1.50 per match.

Head-to-head record

  1. Georgia U21 1–1 Northern Ireland U21 (09 Sep 2025)
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