World · UEFA U21 Championship - Qualification
Northern Ireland U21 vs Georgia U21 Prediction
· Ballymena Showgrounds
Match prediction
- The model splits home and draw evenly at 45%, so the double-chance advice reflects genuine uncertainty rather than a clear home edge.
- Northern Ireland's superior form, attack and defensive ratings support avoiding an away win, though the head-to-head and goals metrics sit level.
- Georgia's away scoring average exceeds their home output, warning that the visitors carry a real goal threat despite weaker overall form.
- Northern Ireland's away form includes heavy defeats, but their home record shows two clean sheets, reinforcing the home-or-draw lean.
- Georgia's tendency to concede early and fail to score in several matches supports the advice, while their late scoring habit keeps a draw plausible.
- Both teams average 1.5 goals, so the probabilities point to a tight contest where avoiding defeat matters more than a decisive home win.
- Predicted winner
- Northern Ireland U21
- Betting advice
- Double chance : Northern Ireland U21 or draw
- Home win probability
- 45%
- Draw probability
- 45%
- Away win probability
- 10%
- Goals market
- —
Prediction comparison
| Factor | Northern Ireland U21 | Georgia U21 |
|---|---|---|
| Form | 69.0% | 31.0% |
| Attack | 62.0% | 38.0% |
| Defence | 56.0% | 44.0% |
| Poisson | 54.0% | 46.0% |
| H2h | 50.0% | 50.0% |
| Goals | 50.0% | 50.0% |
| Total | 56.8% | 43.2% |
Team form and goal analysis
Northern Ireland U21
Recent form: DWLWLLWW.
Average goals scored: 1.50 per match.
Georgia U21
Recent form: DDWLLDWL.
Average goals scored: 1.50 per match.
Head-to-head record
- Georgia U21 1–1 Northern Ireland U21 (09 Sep 2025)


