World · UEFA U21 Championship - Qualification
North Macedonia U21 vs Montenegro U21 Prediction
· Stadion Petar Milosevski
Match prediction
- Montenegro's stronger recent form and superior attack rating justify favoring them, though the draw probability equal to their win share explains the double-chance advice.
- North Macedonia's poor form and weak attack suggest limited scoring threat, supporting the model's low home win probability.
- The head-to-head record favors North Macedonia, creating tension with the model's preference for Montenegro based on current form.
- Both teams concede regularly, so the draw component of the double chance remains plausible despite Montenegro's overall edge.
- Montenegro's away form is mixed, with recent draws and losses, which tempers confidence in an outright away win.
- North Macedonia's defensive vulnerabilities and frequent losses make a home victory unlikely, reinforcing the draw-or-away recommendation.
- Predicted winner
- Montenegro U21
- Betting advice
- Double chance : draw or Montenegro U21
- Home win probability
- 10%
- Draw probability
- 45%
- Away win probability
- 45%
- Goals market
- —
Prediction comparison
| Factor | North Macedonia U21 | Montenegro U21 |
|---|---|---|
| Form | 30.0% | 70.0% |
| Attack | 38.0% | 62.0% |
| Defence | 45.0% | 55.0% |
| Poisson | 34.0% | 66.0% |
| H2h | 67.0% | 33.0% |
| Goals | 55.0% | 45.0% |
| Total | 44.8% | 55.2% |
Team form and goal analysis
North Macedonia U21
Recent form: LLWLLLLW.
Average goals scored: 0.90 per match.
Montenegro U21
Recent form: LWLWWLDL.
Average goals scored: 1.40 per match.
Head-to-head record
- Montenegro U21 3–2 North Macedonia U21 (14 Oct 2025)
- North Macedonia U21 2–1 Montenegro U21 (17 Nov 2020)
- Montenegro U21 1–2 North Macedonia U21 (10 Oct 2019)


