World · UEFA U21 Championship - Qualification

North Macedonia U21 vs Montenegro U21 Prediction

· Stadion Petar Milosevski

North Macedonia U21 badgeNorth Macedonia U21 vs Montenegro U21 badgeMontenegro U21

Match prediction

  • Montenegro's stronger recent form and superior attack rating justify favoring them, though the draw probability equal to their win share explains the double-chance advice.
  • North Macedonia's poor form and weak attack suggest limited scoring threat, supporting the model's low home win probability.
  • The head-to-head record favors North Macedonia, creating tension with the model's preference for Montenegro based on current form.
  • Both teams concede regularly, so the draw component of the double chance remains plausible despite Montenegro's overall edge.
  • Montenegro's away form is mixed, with recent draws and losses, which tempers confidence in an outright away win.
  • North Macedonia's defensive vulnerabilities and frequent losses make a home victory unlikely, reinforcing the draw-or-away recommendation.
Predicted winner
Montenegro U21
Betting advice
Double chance : draw or Montenegro U21
Home win probability
10%
Draw probability
45%
Away win probability
45%
Goals market
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Prediction comparison

FactorNorth Macedonia U21Montenegro U21
Form30.0%70.0%
Attack38.0%62.0%
Defence45.0%55.0%
Poisson34.0%66.0%
H2h67.0%33.0%
Goals55.0%45.0%
Total44.8%55.2%

Team form and goal analysis

North Macedonia U21

Recent form: LLWLLLLW.

Average goals scored: 0.90 per match.

Montenegro U21

Recent form: LWLWWLDL.

Average goals scored: 1.40 per match.

Head-to-head record

  1. Montenegro U21 3–2 North Macedonia U21 (14 Oct 2025)
  2. North Macedonia U21 2–1 Montenegro U21 (17 Nov 2020)
  3. Montenegro U21 1–2 North Macedonia U21 (10 Oct 2019)
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