Nordlingen vs ASV Neumarkt Prediction

Match prediction

The existing model gives Nordlingen a 35% home win probability and the draw another 35%, leaving ASV Neumarkt at 30%, which is why the advice is a double chance on Nordlingen or draw rather than a straight home win. That narrow edge is only partly reflected in the comparison metrics, where form is level at 50.00 for both sides and defence is also identical at 50.00, so the separation comes mainly from attack (60.00 versus 40.00) and the total scores (48.80 versus 51.30). The Poisson figures pull the other way, favouring the away side 65.00 to 35.00, which is a clear internal conflict with the double-chance advice and suggests the model's edge for Nordlingen is not strongly supported by that particular metric. Both teams' 11-game records are poor in different ways: Nordlingen have two wins, three draws and six defeats with a 1.10 goals-per-game average, while Neumarkt have just one win, two draws and eight defeats and average only 0.80 goals per game. Nordlingen's home splits are especially weak, with no home wins, four home defeats and four home matches without scoring, whereas their away form includes a 4-1 win and a 1.50 away goals average, so the venue may not be the advantage the home probability implies. Neumarkt's defensive numbers are marginally better overall at 1.90 goals conceded per game against Nordlingen's 1.90 total, but their away defence is worse at 2.00, and neither side has kept a home clean sheet. The last-five records reinforce the inconsistency: Nordlingen lost four of five, including 1-3, 0-1, 1-4 and 0-1, before a 4-1 win, while Neumarkt lost four of five around a single 3-1 away win, so both recent samples are small and dominated by defeats. The head-to-head section is empty, so there is no historical meeting data to support or contradict the prediction, and the goals and head-to-head comparison fields are also zeroed out, meaning those inputs contribute no signal. Overall, the double chance looks like a cautious hedge on two low-scoring, low-win teams, but the Poisson split and Nordlingen's winless home record mean the draw component carries much of the justification rather than a convincing home advantage.

Predicted winner

Nordlingen

Betting advice

Double chance : Nordlingen or draw

Home win probability

35%

Draw probability

35%

Away win probability

30%

Goals market

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Prediction comparison

Team form and goal analysis

Head-to-head record

No recorded head-to-head matches are available.