Nocerina vs Turris Prediction

Match prediction

• The model's 45% draw and 45% Turris probabilities justify the double-chance advice, since Nocerina's 10% win share is the clear outlier.
• Turris's recent form of two wins and three draws, including three clean sheets, supports their defensive reliability within the double chance.
• Nocerina's last five show three wins but also a loss and a draw, suggesting inconsistency that keeps their win probability low despite home advantage.
• Head-to-head heavily favors Turris at 80%, though the small two-match sample and friendly context weaken its predictive weight.
• All form, attack, defence, and Poisson metrics are zero, so the prediction rests mainly on probabilities and recent results rather than season data.
• The goals comparison tilts toward Turris at 57% versus Nocerina's 43%, reinforcing Turris's edge while the draw remains a strong secondary outcome.

Predicted winner

Turris

Betting advice

Double chance : draw or Turris

Home win probability

10%

Draw probability

45%

Away win probability

45%

Goals market

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Prediction comparison

Team form and goal analysis

Head-to-head record

1. Turris 3–2 Nocerina (20 Aug 2023)
2. Nocerina 1–1 Turris (07 Aug 2022)