Spain · Tercera División RFEF - Group 18
Noblejas vs Illescas Prediction
Match prediction
- Illescas's unbeaten start and three clean sheets justify the draw-or-away advice, though two draws in four suggest the win is far from certain.
- Noblejas's perfect home record conflicts with their weak overall defence, so the model's low home probability may understate their scoring threat.
- The near-even 45/45 split between Illescas and the draw reflects genuine uncertainty, making the double chance the safer expression of the away lean.
- Noblejas score heavily at home but concede consistently, while Illescas's away form is solid yet low-scoring, pointing to a tight contest.
- Illescas's defensive strength contrasts with Noblejas's leaky backline, supporting the away side's edge despite the modest attacking output.
- The absence of head-to-head history removes a key tiebreaker, reinforcing reliance on current form and the cautious double-chance recommendation.
- Predicted winner
- Illescas
- Betting advice
- Double chance : draw or Illescas
- Home win probability
- 10%
- Draw probability
- 45%
- Away win probability
- 45%
- Goals market
- —
Prediction comparison
| Factor | Noblejas | Illescas |
|---|---|---|
| Form | 47.0% | 53.0% |
| Attack | 55.0% | 45.0% |
| Defence | 25.0% | 75.0% |
| Poisson | 44.0% | 56.0% |
| H2h | 0.0% | 0.0% |
| Goals | 0.0% | 0.0% |
| Total | 42.8% | 57.3% |
Team form and goal analysis
Noblejas
Recent form: WDWL.
Average goals scored: 1.50 per match.
Illescas
Recent form: WDDW.
Average goals scored: 1.30 per match.
Head-to-head record
No recorded head-to-head matches are available.


