Spain · Tercera División RFEF - Group 18

Noblejas vs Illescas Prediction

Noblejas badgeNoblejas vs Illescas badgeIllescas

Match prediction

  • Illescas's unbeaten start and three clean sheets justify the draw-or-away advice, though two draws in four suggest the win is far from certain.
  • Noblejas's perfect home record conflicts with their weak overall defence, so the model's low home probability may understate their scoring threat.
  • The near-even 45/45 split between Illescas and the draw reflects genuine uncertainty, making the double chance the safer expression of the away lean.
  • Noblejas score heavily at home but concede consistently, while Illescas's away form is solid yet low-scoring, pointing to a tight contest.
  • Illescas's defensive strength contrasts with Noblejas's leaky backline, supporting the away side's edge despite the modest attacking output.
  • The absence of head-to-head history removes a key tiebreaker, reinforcing reliance on current form and the cautious double-chance recommendation.
Predicted winner
Illescas
Betting advice
Double chance : draw or Illescas
Home win probability
10%
Draw probability
45%
Away win probability
45%
Goals market
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Prediction comparison

FactorNoblejasIllescas
Form47.0%53.0%
Attack55.0%45.0%
Defence25.0%75.0%
Poisson44.0%56.0%
H2h0.0%0.0%
Goals0.0%0.0%
Total42.8%57.3%

Team form and goal analysis

Noblejas

Recent form: WDWL.

Average goals scored: 1.50 per match.

Illescas

Recent form: WDDW.

Average goals scored: 1.30 per match.

Head-to-head record

No recorded head-to-head matches are available.

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