First League · Armenia
Noah II vs Hayq Prediction
Match prediction
The existing model gives Noah II a 35% home win probability and a 35% draw probability against Hayq’s 30%, producing the advice “Double chance: Noah II or draw,” so the recommendation is only narrowly separated from the away outcome. The comparison metrics appear to reinforce that lean, with Noah II rated 100.00 on form and attack versus 0.00 for Hayq, while the defensive split is closer at 43.00 against 57.00. However, the Poisson and head-to-head columns complicate that picture: both Poisson values are 0.00, and the head-to-head split is 0.00 for Noah II against 100.00 for Hayq, meaning the historical matchup evidence points the other way. That conflict matters because the two recorded meetings are split, with Hayq winning 2-0 at home in March 2026 and Noah II winning 2-0 away in September 2025, so the 100.00 head-to-head figure reflects a very small and alternating sample rather than clear dominance. Noah II’s overall record of one win, three draws, and four losses in eight matches is modest, and their home form is especially weak with no home wins, one draw, and three home defeats, including a 0-7 loss. Their goals analysis shows 1.00 scored and 2.50 conceded per match overall, but the home split is stark at 0.50 scored and 3.50 conceded, which qualifies any confidence in a home double chance. Hayq’s sample is much smaller, just two matches, both at home, both lost, with no goals scored and six conceded, so their 0.00 form and attack ratings and 3.00 goals-against average are based on minimal evidence. The last-five records show Noah II with one win, two draws, and two losses, including a 0-4 home defeat to Ararat II, while Hayq’s only listed recent match is a 0-3 home loss to the same opponent. Overall, the advice leans on Noah II’s stronger comparative form and attack ratings and Hayq’s winless start, but it is weakened by Noah II’s poor home scoring and defence, the contradictory head-to-head and Poisson signals, and the very small samples behind Hayq’s and the head-to-head data.
- Predicted winner
- Noah II
- Betting advice
- Double chance : Noah II or draw
- Home win probability
- 35%
- Draw probability
- 35%
- Away win probability
- 30%
- Goals market
- —
Prediction comparison
| Factor | Noah II | Hayq |
|---|---|---|
| Form | 100.0% | 0.0% |
| Attack | 100.0% | 0.0% |
| Defence | 43.0% | 57.0% |
| Poisson | 0.0% | 0.0% |
| H2h | 0.0% | 100.0% |
| Goals | 0.0% | 100.0% |
| Total | 43.0% | 57.0% |
Team form and goal analysis
Noah II
Recent form: LDLWDDLL.
Average goals scored: 1.00 per match.
Hayq
Recent form: LL.
Average goals scored: 0.00 per match.
Head-to-head record
- Hayq 2–0 Noah II (31 Mar 2026)
- Noah II 0–2 Hayq (12 Sep 2025)


