NJ/NY Gotham FC W vs Angel City W Prediction
· Sports Illustrated Stadium
Match prediction
- The model's near-even split between home win and draw, with away win slightly lower, justifies the double-chance advice rather than a straight home pick.
- Gotham's stronger defensive record and home form support avoiding defeat, though Angel City's superior recent form and attack keep the outright win uncertain.
- Angel City's better form and attacking metrics conflict with Gotham's dominant head-to-head and goals history, explaining why the model hedges toward draw coverage.
- Gotham's low-scoring profile and frequent clean sheets suggest a tight match, reinforcing draw risk within the double-chance selection.
- Angel City's strong recent away results and perfect penalty conversion add upset potential, qualifying the advice despite Gotham's historical edge in this fixture.
- The narrow probability gap between all three outcomes means the double chance is the model's cautious way of capturing Gotham's advantage without overcommitting.
- Predicted winner
- NJ/NY Gotham FC W
- Betting advice
- Double chance : NJ/NY Gotham FC W or draw
- Home win probability
- 35%
- Draw probability
- 35%
- Away win probability
- 30%
- Goals market
- —
Prediction comparison
| Factor | NJ/NY Gotham FC W | Angel City W |
|---|---|---|
| Form | 43.0% | 57.0% |
| Attack | 40.0% | 60.0% |
| Defence | 36.0% | 64.0% |
| Poisson | 48.0% | 52.0% |
| H2h | 93.0% | 7.0% |
| Goals | 83.0% | 17.0% |
| Total | 57.2% | 42.8% |
Team form and goal analysis
NJ/NY Gotham FC W
Recent form: WDLDLWWWDWWLWWWDWWWWDDLWWW.
Average goals scored: 1.30 per match.
Angel City W
Recent form: WWWLLLLDWLLWWWLDDDDLWWDWWW.
Average goals scored: 1.70 per match.
Head-to-head record
- Angel City W 0–0 NJ/NY Gotham FC W (24 Aug 2026)
- NJ/NY Gotham FC W 3–1 Angel City W (07 Sep 2025)
- Angel City W 0–4 NJ/NY Gotham FC W (19 Apr 2025)
- NJ/NY Gotham FC W 1–0 Angel City W (06 Aug 2024)
- Angel City W 1–2 NJ/NY Gotham FC W (07 Jul 2024)