Nissa vs Vibonese Prediction

Match prediction

The existing model gives Nissa a narrow edge for the double chance with +1.5 goals, but the probabilities of 35% home, 35% draw and 30% away show how finely balanced this fixture is. Form scores are identical at 50.00 for both sides, while the attacking and defensive splits lean toward Vibonese (58 attack and 55 defence against Nissa's 42 and 45), which qualifies rather than contradicts the home-favouring advice. The Poisson metric is the clearest counterweight, rating Nissa at 66.00 against Vibonese's 34.00, and the goals comparison also favours the visitors at 67.00 to 33.00, so the model's home lean rests more on that Poisson projection than on the raw form or attack-defence numbers. Both teams have four league outings: Nissa's WDWL includes two home wins without defeat and an away loss at Calcio Avola, while Vibonese's WDLW mixes a 3-0 home win over AC Palermo with a 4-3 away defeat at Igea Virtus. Nissa's goals analysis shows 2.00 scored and 1.50 conceded per game, with all four matches producing at least one goal and three of four going over 1.5, which supports the +1.5 element of the advice. Vibonese average 2.80 scored and 1.30 conceded, and their 3-0 and 4-0 wins show a higher ceiling, though their away record also includes a four-goal concession. The head-to-head record is split 50.00-50.00 and offers no clear edge: Vibonese won 4-0 at home in January 2025 and 1-0 in February 2026, while the two meetings at Nissa's ground both ended 1-1. With such small samples and a near-even probability split, the evidence supports the double chance and goals line as a cautious reading rather than a strong statement about the winner.

Predicted winner

Nissa

Betting advice

Combo Double chance : Nissa or draw and +1.5 goals

Home win probability

35%

Draw probability

35%

Away win probability

30%

Goals market

+1.5

Prediction comparison

Team form and goal analysis

Head-to-head record

1. Vibonese 0–1 Nissa (08 Feb 2026)
2. Nissa 1–1 Vibonese (05 Oct 2025)
3. Vibonese 4–0 Nissa (05 Jan 2025)
4. Nissa 1–1 Vibonese (08 Sep 2024)