Nilüfer Belediye vs Bursa Yıldırımspor Prediction

Match prediction

The existing model output points to a double chance of draw or Bursa Yıldırımspor, with the probabilities split evenly at 45% for both the draw and the away side and only 10% assigned to a Nilüfer Belediye win. That lean is not fully mirrored in the comparison metrics, where Nilüfer actually hold the stronger form (56.00 vs 44.00), attack (58.00 vs 42.00) and defence (67.00 vs 33.00) ratings, so the advice appears to rest more on the head-to-head and goals splits than on current form. The head-to-head record is the clearest support for the away side, with Bursa Yıldırımspor winning 1-0 at Nilüfer in October 2025 and drawing 2-2 at home in March 2026, giving an 80.00 to 20.00 h2h advantage and a goals split of 60.00 to 40.00 in their favour. The Poisson values are both 0.00, which offers no additional discrimination and leaves the total comparison nearly level at 48.20 for Nilüfer against 51.80 for Bursa. Nilüfer's team analysis shows a perfect WWW start across three fixtures, with two clean sheets, no failures to score and a 0-4 away win among their results, while Bursa's WWD record also remains unbeaten with two clean sheets and no blanks. The goals analysis adds nuance: Nilüfer have scored seven goals at 2.30 per game and conceded just one at 0.30, whereas Bursa have scored five at 1.70 and conceded two at 0.70, so Nilüfer's underlying numbers look at least as strong. Bursa's goal timing is heavily back-loaded, with 60% of their goals arriving in the 76-90 minute window, which could explain why their results have been tighter than Nilüfer's. The last-five records reinforce the tension, as Nilüfer have won all five listed matches including a 4-0 away victory and a 3-1 home win, while Bursa's sequence includes a 2-2 draw with Karsiyaka and a 2-3 home loss to Çorluspor 1947. Overall, the draw-or-Bursa advice seems to be driven mainly by the head-to-head edge and the even probability split rather than by form or defensive metrics, and the small three-match samples mean those trends should be treated as indicative rather than decisive.

Predicted winner

Bursa Yıldırımspor

Betting advice

Double chance : draw or Bursa Yıldırımspor

Home win probability

10%

Draw probability

45%

Away win probability

45%

Goals market

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Prediction comparison

Team form and goal analysis

Head-to-head record

1. Bursa Yıldırımspor 2–2 Nilüfer Belediye (01 Mar 2026)
2. Nilüfer Belediye 0–1 Bursa Yıldırımspor (25 Oct 2025)