Nico United vs Prisons XI Prediction
Match prediction
- The model splits home and draw evenly at 45%, so the double chance correctly captures Nico United's advantage without backing an outright win.
- Prisons XI's three straight defeats and one goal scored support the low 10% away win probability.
- Nico United's perfect recent form score contrasts with Prisons XI's zero, though both teams' actual results show similar scoring struggles.
- Both attacks have failed to score in two of three matches, reinforcing the under 3.5 goals advice.
- The head-to-head record shows two draws, qualifying the home win probability and supporting the draw component of the double chance.
- Prisons XI's Poisson advantage conflicts with their losing streak, suggesting the model weighs recent form more heavily than expected goals.
- Predicted winner
- Nico United
- Betting advice
- Combo Double chance : Nico United or draw and -3.5 goals
- Home win probability
- 45%
- Draw probability
- 45%
- Away win probability
- 10%
- Goals market
- -3.5
Prediction comparison
| Factor | Nico United | Prisons XI |
|---|---|---|
| Form | 100.0% | 0.0% |
| Attack | 75.0% | 25.0% |
| Defence | 50.0% | 50.0% |
| Poisson | 0.0% | 100.0% |
| H2h | 50.0% | 50.0% |
| Goals | 50.0% | 50.0% |
| Total | 56.3% | 43.8% |
Team form and goal analysis
Nico United
Recent form: WLL.
Average goals scored: 1.00 per match.
Prisons XI
Recent form: LLL.
Average goals scored: 0.30 per match.
Head-to-head record
- Prisons XI 1–1 Nico United (01 Mar 2023)
- Nico United 0–0 Prisons XI (13 Nov 2022)