World · CONCACAF Nations League

Nicaragua vs Dominican Republic Prediction

OUR RECOMMENDATIONCombo Winner : Dominican Republic and +1.5 goals

Nicaragua badgeNicaragua vs Dominican Republic badgeDominican Republic

Match prediction

  • Dominican Republic's perfect recent form and superior attack and defence metrics justify favouring them, though the 45% draw probability signals real uncertainty.
  • Nicaragua's three straight defeats, including a 6-1 loss, expose defensive fragility that supports the away win component of the advice.
  • Both teams concede regularly, and Dominican Republic's matches have produced over 1.5 goals, reinforcing the goals half of the combination.
  • The head-to-head record leans toward Dominican Republic, including a 3-2 win over Nicaragua in September 2026, strengthening the away-side case.
  • Nicaragua's attack and defence ratings are markedly weaker than Dominican Republic's, supporting the model's clear away preference.
  • Dominican Republic's 1-4 home loss to Haiti shows vulnerability, so the advice carries risk despite their overall statistical edge.
Predicted winner
Dominican Republic
Betting advice
Combo Winner : Dominican Republic and +1.5 goals
Home win probability
10%
Draw probability
45%
Away win probability
45%
Goals market
+1.5

Prediction comparison

FactorNicaraguaDominican Republic
Form0.0%100.0%
Attack33.0%67.0%
Defence37.0%63.0%
Poisson0.0%100.0%
H2h38.0%62.0%
Goals50.0%50.0%
Total39.5%60.5%

Team form and goal analysis

Nicaragua

Recent form: LLL.

Average goals scored: 1.00 per match.

Dominican Republic

Recent form: WWL.

Average goals scored: 2.00 per match.

Head-to-head record

  1. Dominican Republic 3–2 Nicaragua (25 Sep 2026)
  2. Nicaragua 0–0 Dominican Republic (22 Nov 2023)
  3. Dominican Republic 0–2 Nicaragua (09 Sep 2023)
  4. Nicaragua —–— Dominican Republic (27 Jan 2022)
  5. Dominican Republic 1–0 Nicaragua (11 Nov 2017)
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