World · CONCACAF Nations League

Nicaragua vs Costa Rica Prediction

Nicaragua badgeNicaragua vs Costa Rica badgeCosta Rica

Match prediction

  • Costa Rica's 80% head-to-head edge and Nicaragua's 4.50 goals-against average support the double-chance advice despite both teams' poor form.
  • Nicaragua's defence concedes heavily early, with 44% of goals against inside 15 minutes, reinforcing the over 2.5 goals component.
  • Costa Rica's attack has been blanked in three of five recent matches, which tempers but does not overturn the goal expectation.
  • Both teams losing their last two fixtures makes the draw-or-Costa Rica double chance safer than a straight away win.
  • The 45% draw probability nearly matches Costa Rica's 45%, explaining why the advice hedges rather than backing the away side alone.
  • Nicaragua's 10% win probability and 9 goals conceded in two matches make an upset unlikely, supporting the combined selection.
Predicted winner
Costa Rica
Betting advice
Combo Double chance : draw or Costa Rica and +2.5 goals
Home win probability
10%
Draw probability
45%
Away win probability
45%
Goals market
+2.5

Prediction comparison

FactorNicaraguaCosta Rica
Form0.0%0.0%
Attack50.0%50.0%
Defence40.0%60.0%
Poisson0.0%0.0%
H2h20.0%80.0%
Goals18.0%82.0%
Total32.0%68.0%

Team form and goal analysis

Nicaragua

Recent form: LL.

Average goals scored: 1.50 per match.

Costa Rica

Recent form: LL.

Average goals scored: 1.50 per match.

Head-to-head record

  1. Costa Rica 4–1 Nicaragua (14 Oct 2025)
  2. Nicaragua 1–1 Costa Rica (06 Sep 2025)
  3. Costa Rica 4–0 Nicaragua (17 Jun 2019)
  4. Costa Rica 0–0 Nicaragua (18 Jan 2017)
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