World · CONCACAF Nations League
Nicaragua vs Costa Rica Prediction
Match prediction
- Costa Rica's 80% head-to-head edge and Nicaragua's 4.50 goals-against average support the double-chance advice despite both teams' poor form.
- Nicaragua's defence concedes heavily early, with 44% of goals against inside 15 minutes, reinforcing the over 2.5 goals component.
- Costa Rica's attack has been blanked in three of five recent matches, which tempers but does not overturn the goal expectation.
- Both teams losing their last two fixtures makes the draw-or-Costa Rica double chance safer than a straight away win.
- The 45% draw probability nearly matches Costa Rica's 45%, explaining why the advice hedges rather than backing the away side alone.
- Nicaragua's 10% win probability and 9 goals conceded in two matches make an upset unlikely, supporting the combined selection.
- Predicted winner
- Costa Rica
- Betting advice
- Combo Double chance : draw or Costa Rica and +2.5 goals
- Home win probability
- 10%
- Draw probability
- 45%
- Away win probability
- 45%
- Goals market
- +2.5
Prediction comparison
| Factor | Nicaragua | Costa Rica |
|---|---|---|
| Form | 0.0% | 0.0% |
| Attack | 50.0% | 50.0% |
| Defence | 40.0% | 60.0% |
| Poisson | 0.0% | 0.0% |
| H2h | 20.0% | 80.0% |
| Goals | 18.0% | 82.0% |
| Total | 32.0% | 68.0% |
Team form and goal analysis
Nicaragua
Recent form: LL.
Average goals scored: 1.50 per match.
Costa Rica
Recent form: LL.
Average goals scored: 1.50 per match.
Head-to-head record
- Costa Rica 4–1 Nicaragua (14 Oct 2025)
- Nicaragua 1–1 Costa Rica (06 Sep 2025)
- Costa Rica 4–0 Nicaragua (17 Jun 2019)
- Costa Rica 0–0 Nicaragua (18 Jan 2017)


