Newport County vs Plymouth Prediction
· Rodney Parade
OUR RECOMMENDATIONCombo Double chance : Newport County or draw and +1.5 goals
Match prediction
- The model splits home and draw evenly at 45%, so the double-chance advice mainly reflects Plymouth's low 10% win probability rather than Newport superiority.
- Newport's perfect defensive score contrasts Plymouth's zero, yet both teams won their only match, suggesting the comparison metrics overstate a one-game sample.
- Plymouth's five-goal home win and four-goal away win show genuine attacking threat, which qualifies the low away probability and supports the +1.5 goals element.
- Newport's recent matches produced three draws and low scoring, so the +1.5 goals advice depends more on Plymouth's scoring than Newport's own output.
- Head-to-head favors Newport 60-40 and recent meetings at Rodney Parade went their way, reinforcing the home-or-draw side of the advice.
- Both teams enter with identical 50% form, so the draw component of the double chance carries real weight alongside Newport's home advantage.
- Predicted winner
- Newport County
- Betting advice
- Combo Double chance : Newport County or draw and +1.5 goals
- Home win probability
- 45%
- Draw probability
- 45%
- Away win probability
- 10%
- Goals market
- +1.5
Prediction comparison
| Factor | Newport County | Plymouth |
|---|---|---|
| Form | 50.0% | 50.0% |
| Attack | 29.0% | 71.0% |
| Defence | 100.0% | 0.0% |
| Poisson | 0.0% | 0.0% |
| H2h | 60.0% | 40.0% |
| Goals | 60.0% | 40.0% |
| Total | 49.8% | 50.3% |
Team form and goal analysis
Newport County
Recent form: W.
Average goals scored: 2.00 per match.
Plymouth
Recent form: W.
Average goals scored: 5.00 per match.
Head-to-head record
- Newport County 2–0 Plymouth (31 Aug 2021)
- Plymouth 3–1 Newport County (10 Nov 2020)
- Plymouth 1–0 Newport County (01 Feb 2020)
- Newport County 1–0 Plymouth (17 Aug 2019)
- Newport County 2–0 Plymouth (13 Nov 2018)