Argentina · Liga Profesional Argentina

Newells Old Boys vs Lanus Prediction

· Estadio Marcelo Bielsa

Newells Old Boys badgeNewells Old Boys vs Lanus badgeLanus

Match prediction

  • The model rates home and draw equally at 45%, so the double-chance advice reflects a match the model sees as nearly even rather than a clear home edge.
  • Lanus lead most comparison metrics and recent form, which qualifies the advice by showing the draw component carries much of its safety.
  • Newells' strong head-to-head record at this venue supports the home side's inclusion, though Lanus' recent 5-0 win shows that edge is not absolute.
  • Both defences score identically in comparison, while Lanus' superior attack and away scoring suggest Newells may struggle to win outright.
  • Newells' last five produced two wins and three draws, a low-scoring pattern consistent with the draw probability and the cautious double-chance selection.
  • Lanus' three wins in five contrast with Newells' draw-heavy form, so the advice hedges against an away side whose results are currently stronger.
Predicted winner
Newells Old Boys
Betting advice
Double chance : Newells Old Boys or draw
Home win probability
45%
Draw probability
45%
Away win probability
10%
Goals market
—

Prediction comparison

FactorNewells Old BoysLanus
Form47.0%53.0%
Attack42.0%58.0%
Defence50.0%50.0%
Poisson42.0%58.0%
H2h60.0%40.0%
Goals42.0%58.0%
Total47.2%52.8%

Team form and goal analysis

Newells Old Boys

Recent form: LDLLDLLLDLWWDWDDWLDLWWDDDW.

Average goals scored: 1.00 per match.

Lanus

Recent form: WWDDLDLWWWLDWLDDLWLLWLDLWWW.

Average goals scored: 1.10 per match.

Head-to-head record

  1. Lanus 5–0 Newells Old Boys (17 Mar 2026)
  2. Newells Old Boys 2–1 Lanus (05 Oct 2024)
  3. Lanus 0–2 Newells Old Boys (31 Jan 2024)
  4. Newells Old Boys 1–0 Lanus (27 Aug 2023)
  5. Lanus 1–0 Newells Old Boys (21 May 2023)
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