Argentina · Liga Profesional Argentina
Newells Old Boys vs Lanus Prediction
· Estadio Marcelo Bielsa
Match prediction
- The model rates home and draw equally at 45%, so the double-chance advice reflects a match the model sees as nearly even rather than a clear home edge.
- Lanus lead most comparison metrics and recent form, which qualifies the advice by showing the draw component carries much of its safety.
- Newells' strong head-to-head record at this venue supports the home side's inclusion, though Lanus' recent 5-0 win shows that edge is not absolute.
- Both defences score identically in comparison, while Lanus' superior attack and away scoring suggest Newells may struggle to win outright.
- Newells' last five produced two wins and three draws, a low-scoring pattern consistent with the draw probability and the cautious double-chance selection.
- Lanus' three wins in five contrast with Newells' draw-heavy form, so the advice hedges against an away side whose results are currently stronger.
- Predicted winner
- Newells Old Boys
- Betting advice
- Double chance : Newells Old Boys or draw
- Home win probability
- 45%
- Draw probability
- 45%
- Away win probability
- 10%
- Goals market
- —
Prediction comparison
| Factor | Newells Old Boys | Lanus |
|---|---|---|
| Form | 47.0% | 53.0% |
| Attack | 42.0% | 58.0% |
| Defence | 50.0% | 50.0% |
| Poisson | 42.0% | 58.0% |
| H2h | 60.0% | 40.0% |
| Goals | 42.0% | 58.0% |
| Total | 47.2% | 52.8% |
Team form and goal analysis
Newells Old Boys
Recent form: LDLLDLLLDLWWDWDDWLDLWWDDDW.
Average goals scored: 1.00 per match.
Lanus
Recent form: WWDDLDLWWWLDWLDDLWLLWLDLWWW.
Average goals scored: 1.10 per match.
Head-to-head record
- Lanus 5–0 Newells Old Boys (17 Mar 2026)
- Newells Old Boys 2–1 Lanus (05 Oct 2024)
- Lanus 0–2 Newells Old Boys (31 Jan 2024)
- Newells Old Boys 1–0 Lanus (27 Aug 2023)
- Lanus 1–0 Newells Old Boys (21 May 2023)


